Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew found winners PROUDLY YOURS (3-1) and PRINCE ERIC (2-1) on Friday and has five stats-based selections on Saturday, April 13th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below..
CHELMSFORD 11.30
TROPEZ POWER (system – Jason Hart, 5f-7f handicaps, Chelmsford)
Jason Hart has a good recent record when riding over the shorter trips in handicaps at Chelmsford (5f-7f), scoring on 21 of his 72 mounts since the beginning of 2020 for a profit of £51.52 to a £1 level stake at SP. He’s now on TROPEZ POWER for the Quinn yard after his original ride, the badly-drawn One More Dream, was scratched. The five-year-old didn’t face the first-time cheekpieces when disappointing at Newcastle last time but the headgear is left off as he’s back down to his last winning mark.
AINTREE 3.05
FLOORING PORTER (system – left-handed preference)
FLOORING PORTER has a strong preference for left-handed tracks like Aintree, recording form figures this way round of 162111F2124443132 (6-17) for a profit of £46.50 to the usual £1 stake. The nine-year-old chased home TEAHUPOO in the Stayers’ Hurdle at Cheltenham last time and doesn’t have that rival to contend with today.
DUNDALK 4.20
CALIFORNIA DREAMER (system – Amo Racing-owned newcomers)
Owners Amo Racing Ltd do well with their newcomers, regardless of age and who trains them. They’ve landed debut wins with 42 of the 189 qualifiers (22.2%) for a profit of £38.73 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those trained in Ireland has a 40% strike-rate (six from 15, +£25.25) and Adrian Murray’s CALIFORNIA DREAMER can add to the tally.
DUNDALK 5.20
HEART OF DARKNESS (system – Paddy Twomey, second career outing)
Paddy Twomey has a good record with debutants, but he also does well with horses on their second career outing, scoring with 26 of the 69 qualifiers since the beginning of 2019 for a profit of £22.59. HEART OF DARKNESS was weak in the betting when fourth in a heavy-ground 5f maiden at Cork last month, and won’t have a problem with the Dundalk Polytrack surface on breeding.
YARMOUTH 6.30
FLY PASS (system – Amy Murphy, headgear removed)
Amy Murphy has a solid record when removing headgear from her runners, scoring with 13 of the 89 qualifiers since 2016 for a profit of £43.58. FLY PASS, beaten in blinkers on his last three starts, goes without the headgear today and looks well drawn in stall 1.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day – See our free NAP bet today. Plus Andy Newton’s ‘Lay of the Day’ tip.
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Related
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