Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew found Curragh winners ARIZONA BLAZE & PROCRASTINATE on Monday and has two stats-based picks on Tuesday, March 19th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below..
WETHERBY 2.45
LONE SOLDIER (system – Dan Skelton, first-time tongue-tie, low-grade hurdles)
In-form Dan Skelton has a good record when using a first-time tongue-tie on his hurdlers, especially in Class 4 and lower company. He’s scored with 52 of the 173 qualifiers (30.1% strike-rate) for a profit of £21.69 to a £1 level stake at SP. LONE SOLDIER, the mount of Tristan Durrell, failed to settle when a modest third at Southwell on his handicap debut in January but the new headgear combination and switch to more conventional hurdles could help.
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30
ARCTURIAN (system – Cotai Glory, geldings on the all-weather)
Gelded progeny of the sire Cotai Glory have a solid record on the all-weather, with 41 winners from 262 bets (15.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £92.53 to a £1 level stake at SP. ARCTURIAN, one of two qualifiers in this restricted novice stakes (the other is SHELBOURNE), was 50-1 when scoring on his debut at Kempton in December but the clock suggests that was no fluke and he can follow up.
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RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day – See our free NAP bet today. Plus Andy Newton’s ‘Lay of the Day’ tip.
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