Andy Newton continues with his Lay Of The Day horse racing tips on Thursday 4th January 2024, where he’s got one horse to take on at Hereford.
Lay Of The Day Horse Racing Tips: Thursday 4th January 2024
The UK and Ireland horse racing cards on Thursday come from Hereford, Lingfield (AW) and Newcastle (AW).
See below Andy Newton’s lay of the day pick. A fancied horse that he’s taking on today with the best horse racing betting sites. You can join top betting exchange Betfair to lay horses by betting on them NOT to win a race or just rule this horse out and bet on another to win – you choose!
Andy Newton’s LAY OF THE DAY: 2:58 Hereford – HARDY BOY
This Ben Pauling runner has a string of fair form figures next to his name, but they are all placed efforts – with his last win coming back in May 23 at Huntingdon (9 races back).
That success also came off a 7lb lower mark, so that’s the first worry if you are thinking of backing Hardy Boy. While today he’s also got a welter-burden of 12st-2lbs to carry and is up a further 2lbs from his recent neck second at Taunton.
Yes, his consistent profile will make him popular, but he’s a horse that’s won just one of his 10 starts over fences (5 seconds) and is racing off a career-high mark this afternoon.
The Pauling camp have had only three winners from their last 23 runners too, while the final negative is the ground. Hardy Boy’s best form has clearly come on ‘good’ or ‘good-to-soft’ conditions, with the three times he’s raced on ‘soft’ resulting in unplaced efforts.
Add in the already-mentioned big 12st 2lbs on his back, in ground that he’s proven not to be at his best in, are enough reasons to be cautious if you are thinking of backing this Pauling runner.
We’ve more horse racing free tips here – including our daily NAP of the Day and Lucky 15 selections.
What Is Lay Betting On Horse Racing?
In short lay betting is to bet on something NOT to happen.
With the introduction of betting exchanges like Betfair, punters can now bet on a horse or a team NOT to win by effectively becoming a bookmaker.
This can be done by staking against a horse or team on a betting exchange.
For example, if you think a horse won’t win a race and it’s 3.00 (2/1), then you could lay this horse for £10.
If the horse loses, you will win £10 (less any set commission). Or if the horse wins you will have to pay out £20 (just like a bookmaker would).
See below another example – if you were to oppose Galopin Des Champs at 2.80 for £10.
You can see the liability if the horse wins would be £18. Or if the horse loses you will win £10 (less any commission).
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