You can use our Chester horse racing trends to whittle down your search for the winners as the meeting heads into the final day on Friday. These Chester stats will give you a chance to narrow the runners to find the best profiles based on past winners of the main LIVE ITV races. Put history on your side.
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Chester Horse Racing Trends: Live ITV4 Racing Stats for Friday 12th May 2023
See below the key horse racing trends for the four main LIVE ITV4 races at Chester on Friday, that includes the Huxley Stakes and the Chester Cup.
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Chester Horse Racing Trends: CAA Stellar Handicap Stats
4 and 5 year-old have the best record in this race – winning 16 of the last 20, while 8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 5 or lower. Taking these two trends into account – Wobwobwob, Croupier and Royal Pleasure – catch the eye.
1.30 – Caa Stellar Sports Earl Grosvenor Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV4
17/20 – Didn’t win their last race
17/20 – Had a previous run that season
16/20 – Finished unplaced last time out
15/20 – Had won over this trip before (or further)
16/20 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/20 – Had run before at Chester
15/20 – Carried 8-9 or more
13/20 – Favourites placed
10/20 – Horses placed from stall 1
10/20 – Won by a 4 year-old
5/20 – Won by the favourite
4/20 – Winning horses from stall 1
3/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding (won the last two)
2/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/20 – Trained by Tom Dascombe
2/20 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/20 – Ridden by David Probert (won the last two)
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
3 of the last 8 winners were ridden by claimers
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Chester Horse Racing Trends: Precision Facades Handicap Stats
With 85% of the last 13 winners carrying 9-1 or less in weight this puts a line through the top 5 on the card. Horses aged between 4-6 have also done well in recent years, while look for horses drawn in 6 or lower. Taking all this into account, Fantastic Fox has a lot in his favour for the Roger Varian yard. We’ve also got last year’s winner Baryshnikov, who is back on the same mark as 12 months ago, and has to be respected.
2.05 – Precision Facades Handicap Cl2 1m2 1/2f ITV4
- 13/13 – Won at least twice before
- 12/13 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
- 12/13 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
- 11/13 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
- 11/13 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
- 10/13 – Placed favourites
- 10/13 – Rated between 90-95
- 10/13 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
- 9/13 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
- 5/13 – Won last time out
- 3/13 – Winning favourites
- 2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
- Baryshnikov (5/2) won the race last year
Chester Horse Racing Trends: Huxley Stakes Stats
Jockey Ryan Moore has ridden 4 of the last 6 winners of this race and looks to have another top chance of adding to that record with the Aidan O’Brien runner – Point Lonsdale. Being drawn 1-4 is another plus and the Moore horse has been handed stall 3, plus 50% of the last 20 favourites have also rewarded backers.
2.40 – Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Huxley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV4
- 18/20 – Aged either a 4 or 5 year-old
- 17/20 – Had won over 1m2f before
- 15/20 – Had a previous race that season
- 15/20 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
- 14/20 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
- 12/20 – Winners from between stalls 1-4
- 12/20 – Failed to win their previous race
- 10/20 – Winning favourites
- 7/20 – Returned 6/4 or shorter in the betting
- 7/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 6)
- 6/20 – Had raced at Chester before
- 6/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
- 5/20 – Ran in the John Porter at Newbury before winning this
- 3/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
- Trainers Sir Michael Stoute, Aidan O’Brien and Richard Fahey have won the last 6 runnings between them (2 each)
Chester Horse Racing Trends: Chester Cup Stats
The Chester Cup age trends tell us that you have to be aged 7 or younger, which is not great news for the older runners in the field – Falcon Eight, who won this in 2021, Euchen Glen Grand Visir and Reshoun.
Being drawn 7 or lower and also having 9-2 or less are other big Chester Cup trends to note and don’t worry if your fancy comes here with an unplaced run last time out.
It’s a race with many chances, but the Hugo Palmer entry Zoffee and the Ian Williams runner Law Of The Sea tick more Chester Cup stats than most.
3.15 – Tote Chester Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f147y ITV4
- 19/20 – Aged 7 years-old or younger
- 17/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
- 14/20 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-olds
- 14/20 – Finished unplaced last time out
- 14/20 – Officially rated between 93-99
- 13/20 – Had won previously over at least 2m on the flat
- 13/20 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
- 13/20 – Carried 9-2 or less
- 13/20 – Had raced within the last 2 months
- 12/20 – Won from stall 7 or lower
- 11/20 – Favourites were unplaced
- 10/20 – Irish bred
- 4/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
- 4/20 – Won by owner Dr Marwan Koukash
- 3/20 – Had won at the track before
- 3/20 – Ran at Aintree over hurdles last time out
- 3/20 – Won their previous race
- 2/20 – Trained by Donald McCain
- 2/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
- 2/20 – Trained by Ian Williams
- 2/20 – Won by the favourite
- 2/20 – Irish-trained winners
- The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 12/1
Key Chester Cup Stats
- The race has seen repeat winners three times since 1997
- Since 1975 we’ve only seen 4 winning favourites
- The Hills yard took the race in 1980, 1999, 2001 and 2009
- Since 1975 all winners have been aged 8 or younger
- Since 1975 there have only been three winners aged 8 years-old
- Since 1981 only 8 winners have carried more than 9-2 to victory
- 4 of the last 12 winners came from NH yards
- 3 of the last 10 winners returned 10/1
- 7 of the last 9 winners carried 9st or more
- Dr Marwan Koukash has owned 4 of the last 14 winners
- Trainer Aidan O’Brien broke his duck in the race last year
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