Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew heads to Catterick (jumps) and Kempton (all-weather)) for his two stats-based selections on Wednesday, March 8th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
CATTERICK 2.50
UPAGAINSTIT (system – Donald McCain – handicap chase debutants)
Donald McCain has a great recent record with runners having their first start in a handicap chase, regardless of whether they’d run over fences previously. Since the beginning of 2021, he’s been successful with 13 of the 42 qualifiers (31% strike-rate) for a profit of £25.93 to a £1 level stake at SP. UPAGAINSTIT could be worth chancing despite never having jumped a fence in public before.
KEMPTON 3.35
EDGE OF AMBER (system – Richard Hughes, gelded newcomers on the all-weather)
In-form Richard Hughes has a solid record with gelded racecourse debutants on the all-weather, scoring with five of the 32 qualifiers. We’d have made a small loss by backing them blind but those who started in the first four in the betting were five from 13 for a profit of £13.43, so market support for EDGE OF AMBER would obviously be significant. This 55,000gns purchase is from a family that does well on the all-weather – his three half-siblings who have had at least ten runs in Europe have all won on Polytrack, two of them here at Kempton.
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Related
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