Boris Johnson Next Prime Minister Odds: 7/1 to replace Sunak

128766388 johnsonleavinggetty
128766388 johnsonleavinggetty

Boris Johnson has been priced at 7/1 to replace Rishi Sunak as the next Prime Minister but trails odds-on favourite Keir Starmer in the race to number ten. 

Next Prime Minister Odds

  • Sir Keir Starmer @ 4/9
  • Boris Johnson @ 7/1
  • Kemi Badenoch @ 18/1
  • Penny Morduant @ 25/1
  • Jeremy Hunt @ 28/1
  • Andy Burnham @ 33/1
  • Ben Wallace @ 33/1
  • James Cleverly @ 33/1
  • Rachel Reeves @ 33/1
  • Suella Braverman @ 33/1

Boris Johnson has been priced at 7/1 to replace Rishi Sunak as the next Prime Minister, but has quite a way to go in catching Leader of the Opposition, Keir Starmer.

Johnson, an MP for Uxbridge and South Ruislip, defeated Jeremy Hunt in the 2019 Conservative Party leadership election and succeeded Theresa May.

After calling a snap election in December 2019, Johnson helped the Conservative Party win the party’s most seats since the 1987 general election but things quickly began to sour once the COVID-19 pandemic hit.

The 58-year-old became the first ever Prime Minister to break the law after breaching lockdown regulations and was issued a fixed penalty notice in April 2022.

Johnson’s government collapsed in July over his appointment of Chris Pincher as Deputy Chief Whip, leading to a mass resignation from cabinet members before resigning in September.


RELATED: Next Scottish Independence Referendum Odds: How Has Nicola Sturgeon’s Resignation Affected The Timeline?


Who Will Be The Next Prime Minister?

Implied probability:

  • Sir Keir Starmer – 69%
  • Boris Johnson – 13%
  • Kemi Badenoch – 5%
  • Penny Morduant – 4%
  • Jeremy Hunt – 3%

Boris Johnson is weighing up the possibility of rebelling over Rishi Sunak’s Northern Ireland deal which would abandon the former Prime Minister’s protocol.

Named the Windsor Framework, a new Brexit deal for Northern Ireland has been announced which is poised to bring about the return of the Stormont Assembly.

The deal would significantly reduce the number of checks for goods arriving in Northern Ireland for Great Britain, creating a green lane for goods which will remain in the country and a red lane to be sent on to the EU.


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