York Horse Racing Trends: Stats To Help Find Wednesday’s ITV Racing Winners

Horse Racing NAP York
Horse Racing NAP York

Use our York horse racing trends to help narrow down your search for winners today on a cracking card at the Yorkshire track – day one of their Dante Festival. These York stats will give you a chance to whittle the runners to find the best profiles based on past winners of the main ITV4 races.

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York Horse Racing Trends: Live ITV4 Racing Stats for Wednesday 17th May 2023

See below the key horse racing trends for the five LIVE ITV4 races at York today (Wednesday), that includes the 1895 Duke Of York Clipper Stakes and the Musidora Stakes.

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RELATED: 2023 Dante Stakes Trends: Which Horses Fit The Most York Stats?


York Horse Racing Trends: Jorvik Handicap Stats

Competitive 1m4f handicap to get the York Dante Festival ITV4 action going – a race that the 4 and 5 year-olds have dominated in recent years. Trainers William Haggas and Sir Michael Stoute have top records – winning 4 of the last 10 between then (2 each). They are both represented again this year with Haggas running La Yakel and Tasman Bay, while Stoute has Real Dream.

Also respect horses that finished in the top 3 last time out, carried 9-1 or less in weight and came from stalls 5 or higher – the already mentioned Real Dream and La Yakel tick all these York trends.

1.50 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Jorvik Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV4

  • 18/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
  • 17/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
  • 15/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 15/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
  • 13/18 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
  • 12/18 – Rated between 80 and 94
  • 12/18 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
  • 12/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
  • 11/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
  • 11/18 – Had won at least 3 times before
  • 9/18 – Had run at York before
  • 8/18 – Winning favourites
  • 7/18 – Unplaced last time out
  • 7/18 – Won last time out
  • 2/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
  • 2/18 – Trained by William Haggas
  • 2/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
  • 2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
  • 2/18 – Ridden by Tom Marquand
  • 0/18 – Winners from stall 1
  • 2022 Winner: Gaassee (6/4 fav)
  • The last 10 winners were aged 4 years-old
  • 3 of the last 4 winners came from stalls 7
  • The last 6 winners came between stalls 5-7

RELATED: Top Free Horse Racing Tips & Advice for UK Betting Today


York Horse Racing Trends: Churchill Tyres Handicap Stats

Dakota Gold won this in 2022 and is back for more for the Dods yard – but is another year older at 9 and is also rated 6lbs higher this time. 18 of the last 20 winners came from stalls 5 or higher, while 85% of the last 20 winners were aged 6 or younger.

We’ve also got the 2019 winner Soldier’s Minute running again and can’t be discounted off just 8-5 in weight.

With 65% also carrying 8-12 or more this York weight trend must be respected too, while a previous run at York is also a plus. The William Haggas 4 year-old Khanjar seems to have a fair bit going for him if you can forgive his last two below-par efforts.

2.25 – Churchill Tyres Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

  • 18/20 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
  • 17/20 – Aged 6 or younger
  • 16/20 – Had run at York before (7 won at the track before)
  • 16/20 – Had won over this trip before
  • 13/20 – Carried 8-12 or MORE
  • 12/20 – Finished unplaced last time out
  • 9/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 9/20 – Won by a 4 year-old
  • 7/20 – Returned either 6/1 or 7/1 in the betting
  • 4/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
  • 4/20 – Won their previous race
  • 1/20 – Winning outright favourite
  • 10 of the last 13 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
  • Trainer Richard Fahey won the race in 2018 and 2021
  • Trainer Michael Easterby won the race in 2011 & 2014
  • Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2018 and 2015
  • 2022 Winner: Dakota Gold (18/1)

York Horse Racing Trends: Duke Of Clipper Stakes Stats

The talented mare Highfield Princess won this race 12 months ago and will be a popular pick to go in again for the John Quinn yard. We’ve also got Godolphin’s Creative Force and the useful Aussie raider The Astrologist coming over with Royal Ascot a likely target for him next month too.

The trends tell us that previous York form is a positive, while with 70% of the last 20 winners coming from stalls 7 or lower this is a fairly decent stat – Highfield Princess (8), Azure Blue (9), Creative Force (10) and Emaraaty Ana (11) would have this to overcome.

The horse that seems to tick the most trends is the Karl Burke Marshman.

3.00 – 1895 Duke of York Clipper Logistics Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV4

  • 19/20 – Came from stall 9 or lower
  • 18/20 – Previous Listed or Group Three winners
  • 17/20 – Had won over 6f before
  • 15/20 – Had run at York before
  • 15/20 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
  • 14/20 – Had a previous race that season
  • 14/20 – Came from stall 7 or lower
  • 10/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
  • 10/20 – Unplaced last time out
  • 7/20 – Won by the favourite
  • 6/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
  • 6/20 – Won their last race
  • 6/20 – Had won a Group One race previously in their career
  • 2/20 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
  • 2022 Winner: Highfield Princess (11/2)

York Horse Racing Trends: Musidora Stakes Stats

Often a fair guide to the Epsom Oaks, run next month on June 2nd – with Sariska (2009) and Snowfall (2021) recent horses to win both races. While last year’s Musidora winner Emily Upjohn, was only just tounched off in the Oaks.

It’s a prize the John Gosden yard love to target – winning 50% of the last 12 – so their Soul Sister is respected despite being a bigger price.

The Musidora is also a race the Stoute team have won 3 times in the last 20 and their Infinite Cosmos looks a big player on adding to that record after a facile win at Newmarket earlier this month. She’s already around 7/1 for the Epsom Oaks next month.

Surprisingly, trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won the race once before, with the already mentioned Snowfall in 2021. He’ll be trying to put that right with recent Gowran Park scorer Lambada.

3.35 – Tattersalls Musidora Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV4 

  • 19/20 – Had won a race before
  • 16/20 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 15/20 – Had a previous run that season
  • 15/20 – Finished 4th or better last time
  • 14/20 – Came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
  • 12/20 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks
  • 9/20 – Won by the favourite
  • 9/20 – Won their previous race
  • 6/20 – Previous distance winners over 1m2f
  • 6/20 – Trained by John Gosden (6 of the last 12)
  • 5/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (4 of last 8)
  • 3/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
  • 2/20 – Ridden by William Buick
  • 2/20 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Sariska 2009, Snowfall 2021)
  • 0/20 – Had run at York before
  • 12 of the last 16 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
  • Trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won the race once (2021)
  • 2022 Winner: Emily Upjohn (4/7 fav)

York Horse Racing Trends: Conundrum HR Consulting Handicap Stats

The final ITV4 York race on Wednesday is a competitive handicap over 7f – a race the Richard Fahey yard have won 3 times in the last 11 – they run one of the fancies Ramazan.

All of the last 11 winners finished in the top 4 last time out too, which will knock some out, while 8 of the last 11 winners carried 9st lbs or less and ran in the last 4 weeks.

Finally, with 64% of the last 11 winners coming between stalls 4-7 this draw range has the best record. If we add this York stall stat to the other main ones here, then Onight, with Hollie Doyle riding looks an interesting each-way option.

4.10 – Conundrum HR Consulting Handicap (Class 3) (3yo 0-95) 7f

  • 11/11 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 11/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
  • 8/11 – Won just once before
  • 8/11 – Carried 9-1 or less
  • 8/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
  • 7/11 – Rated between 79-86
  • 7/11 – Winning favourites
  • 7/11 – Drawn between stalls 4-7 (inc)
  • 7/11 – Ran 4 or less times
  • 6/11 – Won last time out
  • 3/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
  • 2/11 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
  • 0/11 – Winners from stalls 1,2 or 3
  • 2022 Winner: Samburu (4/5)

 

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