Use our York horse racing trends to help narrow down your hunt for winners on Thursday on a decent card at the Yorkshire track – day two of their Dante Festival. These York stats will give you a chance to whittle the runners to find the best profiles based on past winners of the key ITV4 races.
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York Horse Racing Trends: Live ITV4 Racing Stats for Thursday 18th May 2023
See below the key horse racing trends for the five LIVE ITV4 races at York this Thursday, that includes the Middleton Stakes and Dante Stakes – a key Epsom Derby trial contest.
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RELATED: York ITV Racing Tips On Thursday: 1-2-3 Best Bets For York Dante Meeting
York Horse Racing Trends: Lindum York Handicap Stats
The opening at York on Thursday sees a competitive handicap and if the trends are anything to go by, we are looking for horses that ran in the last 5 weeks, finished in the top 5 last time out (but didn’t win) and came from a single-figure draw.
With 10 of the last 14 winners aged 6 or older too, then these York trends combined suggest Illusionist is certainly worth a second look.
1:50 – Lindum York Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4
- 13/14 – Had raced at York before
- 13/14 – Failed to win last time out
- 13/14 – Had won at least 4 times before
- 12/14 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
- 12/14 – Came from a single-figure draw
- 12/14 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
- 10/14 – Winning distance 3/4 length or shorter
- 10/14 – Aged 6 or older
- 9/14 – Returned a double-figure price
- 7/14 – Returned between 8/1 and 16/1
- 7/14 – Favourites placed
- 7/14 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
- 6/14 – Rated between 86-92
- 2/14 – Trained by Tim Easterby (2 of last 3 runnings)
- 2/14 – Trained by Dave Griffiths (2 of the last 6)
- 1/14 – Winning favourites
- Copper Knight won the race in 2019 and 2021
- 2022 Winner: Fine Wine (5/1)
RELATED: Top Free Horse Racing Tips & Advice for UK Betting Today
York Horse Racing Trends: Middleton Stakes Stats
Decent Group 2 race next that will revolve around the Frankie Dettori and John Gosden runner Free Wind. This 5 year-old is the clear top-rated in the field (115) and it’s also a race the yard like to target – winning 2 of the last 4, with Frankie in the plate each time too. We’ve also seen a massive 10 of the last 18 favourites win the Middleton Stakes.
Of the rest, with 5 of the last 18 winners coming from stall 4, this might give Aristia a boost.
2:25 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Fillies’ Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m2½f ITV4
- 18/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
- 15/18 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
- 15/18 – Won over 1m2f before
- 15/18 – Favourites placed
- 13/18 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
- 11/18 – Having first run of the season
- 10/18 – Winning favourites (including 8 of last 14)
- 9/18 – Had won at least 4 times before
- 9/18 – Had raced at York before
- 6/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
- 5/18 – Winners from stall 4
- 4/18 – Had won at York before
- 3/18 – Won last time out
- 3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of last 4)
- 3/18 – Trained by John Gosden
- 3/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
- 2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
- 2/18 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
- 2/18 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
- 2/18 – Winners from stall 1
- 1/18 – Irish trained winners
- 1/18 – French trained winners
- 2022 Winner: Lilac Road (15/2)
York Horse Racing Trends: Hambleton Stakes Stats
With 8 of the last 9 winners carrying 9-0 or more in weight this might be against Rise Hall, The Turpinator, Tropez Power and Master Richard.
We’ve only seen 3 winning favourites in the last 17, but 13 of those finished in the top four. A single-figure draw and having raced in the last 6 weeks are York trends to note, pus 4 year-olds have a fair record – winning 7 of the last 17.
With that in mind, the Stoute runner Assessment, with Ryan Moore riding, ticks a lot of boxes, as do the Hollie Doyle-ridden Imperial Sands and proven course winner Northern Express.
3:00 – Sky Bet Hambleton Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV4
- 17/17 – Rated between 96-105
- 16/17 – Had won over a mile before
- 15/17 – Carried 8-7 or more in weight
- 15/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
- 13/17 – Favourites placed in the top 4
- 12/17 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
- 12/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
- 12/17 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
- 11/17 – Came from a single-figure draw
- 11/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
- 8/17 – Placed last time out
- 7/17 – Aged 4 years-old
- 3/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
- 1/17 – Won last time out
- 2022 Winner: Cruyff Turn (8/1)
York Horse Racing Trends: Dante Stakes Stats
Probably the best Epsom Derby trial around at the moment. In the last 20 runnings we’ve seen 5 Dante winners land the Derby, including last year when Desert Crown did the double. 11 of the last 20 winners were also placed in the Derby.
Trainer, John Gosden, Mark Johnson, Aidan O’Brien and Sire Michael Stoute have dominated the Dante – winning 12 of the last 20 between them.
With only 3 winning favourites in the last 15 runnings, this is something to note and might be used to take on the likely jolly Epictetus, while having a previous run this season has also been a bit of a help (13 of the last 20).
William Buick also has a good record in the race in recent years, so his Flying Honours is respected, but the three that are chanced based on the trends are Canberra Legend, The Foxes and Passenger.
3:35 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2½f ITV4
- 18/20 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby (5 won)
- 16/20 – Finished third or better last time out
- 14/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
- 13/20 – Had a previous race that season
- 13/20 – Won their previous race
- 11/20 – Went onto be placed in the Epsom Derby
- 5/20 – Had won over 1m2f before
- 5/20 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
- 5/20 – Winning favourites
- 4/20 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (won it 7 times in all)
- 3/20 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (won it 4 times in all)
- 3/20 – Won by jockey Ryan Moore
- 3/20 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of last 8 runnings)
- 3/20 – Ridden by William Buick
- 2/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2 of last 6)
- 2/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
- 2/20 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
- 1/20 – Had run at York before
- 0/20 – Winners from stall 2
- Just 3 winning favourites in the last 15 runnings
- Desert Crown (2022) and Golden Horn (2015) were the last Dante winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby
- 2022: Winner: Desert Crown (7/2)
RELATED: 2023 Dante Stakes Trends: Which Horses Fit The Most York Stats?
York Horse Racing Trends: Westow Stakes Stats
A decent Listed 5f sprint to end the ITV coverage on Thursday and it seem the York trends tell us being drawn between 1-5 here helps – so, Kaety Kontent, Michaela’s Boy, Silent Words, Rogue Spirit and Changeofmind get the thumbs up here.
A top 5 finish last time out is another thing to look for, plus being rated between 98 and 103. CD winner, Walbank and the lightly-raced Silent Words are chanced in a race that cases can be made for many.
4:10 – British EBF 40th Anniversary Westow Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV4
- 11/11 – Had won over 5f or 6f in the past
- 9/11 – Won between 1-2 times before
- 8/11 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
- 8/11 – Ran no more than 6 times
- 8/11 – Rated between 98-103
- 8/11 – Drawn in stall 1-5
- 8/11 – Irish bred
- 7/11 – Had run at the track before
- 6/11 – Placed favourites
- 5/11 – Won last time out
- 3/11 – Winning favourites
- 4/11 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
- 2/11 – Trained by David O’Meara
- 2022 Winner: Last Crusader (15/2)
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