Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew heads the Flat turf meetings at Catterick and Sandown for his four two stats-based selections on Thursday, May 23rd. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below..
CATTERICK 4.10
WHITE UMBRELLA (system – Night Of Thunder, good to soft or softer going)
Progeny of Night Of Thunder have an 88 from 473 record (18.6% strike-rate) when racing on good to soft or softer going on the Flat and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £80.85 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 72.83, A/E = 1.21). The filles/mares are 47 from 220 (21.4%, +£121.67) and WHITE UMBRELLA, who clocked a good time when scoring at Wolverhampton on her latest start, won here last October on her most recent Flat outing and can follow up.
SANDOWN 8.12
BALMACARA (system – New Bay, top three finish last time out)
Progeny of New Bay tend to hold their form well and simply backing those who ran third or better on their latest outing would have found 141 winners from 525 bets (26.9% strike-rate) for a profit of £138.56 to a £1 level stake at SP. BALMACARA, too green to do himself justice when a 28-1 third of 13 at Newmarket last backend, is two from two since and looks the value call against fellow hat-trick seeker ICE MAX.
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