Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew has been in good form this week and heads to Aintree and Wincanton for his three stats-based picks on Saturday, October 29th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
AINTREE 12.50
CZECH HER OUT (system – Fame And Glory, 8yo+)
Jumps progeny of sire Fame And Glory tend to improve with age and simply backing all the eight and nine-year-olds (the sire’s oldest crop) would have found 52 winners from 417 runners (12.5% strike-rate) for a profit of £80.38 to a £1 level stake at SP. CZECH HER OUT, one of four qualifiers on this angle today, has finished first (16-1) and second by a neck (9-2) in two starts for Lucinda Russell and should be on the premises once more. I’ve saved on EQUINUS, who did best of the pace horses when third at Newbury on his latest completed start.
WINCANTON 1.10
SHELIKESTHELIGHTS (system – Fergal O’Brien, amateur/conditional races, October)
Fergal O’Brien does well at this time of year in races confined to amateur and/or conditional riders, scoring with nine of the 43 qualifiers in the month of October, since 2016, for a profit of £12.54 to a £1 level stake at SP. Sixteen of the beaten horses also made the frame, including 18-1 shot Castel Gandalfo at Cheltenham on Friday, and SHELIKESTHELIGHTS, two from four for her current yard, looks interesting on her reappearance and first start following a wind operation.
AINTREE 3.10
DARE TO SHOUT (system – Ann Hamilton, last time out winners)
Since the beginning of 2020 backing all runners trained by Ann Hamilton would have found 35 winners from 128 bets (27.3%) for a profit of £31.92 to a £1 level stake at SP, with those who won last time out landing 16 of their 33 starts for a profit of £35.67. DARE TO SHOUT returned from wind surgery to score on his reappearance at Hexham earlier this month and can defy a 4lb rise in the handicap.
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