Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew founds winners at 10-1 and 2-1 on Saturday and goes to war with three stats-selections on Sunday, June 30th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below..
WOLVERHAMPTON 1.35
KINNIGOLI KID (system – Marco Botti, turf to Tapeta switchers)
Marco Botti has a very good record when switching one of his runners from turf to Tapeta, including a 56 from 258 score (21.7%) at Wolverhampton for a profit of £66.97 to a £1 level stake at SP. KINNIGOLI KID trailed home last of nine on the turf at Lingfield when last seen but that run, his first since a gelding operation, was no doubt needed and he can improve for the switch to Tapeta for the first time.
CARTMEL 2.00
WHERE’S BUNNY (system – Jimmy Moffatt, stable switchers)
Jimmy Moffatt has a fine record at the first time of asking with horses he takes over from other trainers, scoring with 15 of the 60 qualifiers since the beginning of 2015 for a profit of £121.50 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 5.47, A/E = 18.26). WHERE’S BUNNY, not beaten far when a 20-1 fourth of 16 in a handicap hurdle at Navan in September on his latest outing, will appreciate the good ground and can make a winning start for his new handler.
CARTMEL 3.10
LUTTRELL LAD (system – Tom Lacey, handicap hurdles)
Handicap hurdles are some of the most competitive and hard to win races in the National Hunt program, but Tom Lacey excels in them, scoring with 136 of the 615 qualifiers (22.1% strike-rate) for a fantastic profit of £149.88 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 103.71, A/E = 1.31). LUTTRELL LAD, placed at 22-1 in the Swinton Handicap Hurdle at Haydock in May when we last saw him, won well on his only previous visit to Cartmel and will appreciate the drop in class.
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RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day – See our free NAP bet today. Plus Andy Newton’s ‘Lay of the Day’ tip.
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