Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Spreadex Analysis – Wednesday, July 24th

Andrew Mount
Andrew Mount

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount writes for the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, both published by the Racing Post, as well as GG.co.uk. His stats and systems based approach to value bets is a proven formula over time. Andrew provides SportsLens readers with his latest thoughts below.

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Spreadex offers both normal fixed odds betting plus spread betting on horse racing. There are some key differences between this form of gambling and placing regular fixed odds bets. Get the calls right and punters could win big, but the potential to lose money can be much higher. Intrigued? Then check out this how to spread bet on horse racing guide:

Andrew heads to Lingfield and Salisbury for his three recommended bets/trades on Wednesday, July 24th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:

LINGFIELD JOCKEYS

SAFFIE OSBORNE impressed when scoring on King Of Scotia on the Polytrack here yesterday, taking a pull and settling behind the leader on one who is normally a front-runner, avoiding the ‘swamp’ on the inside rail and challenging down the middle to score comfortably at odds of 8-1. That was her eighth winning ride in the past fortnight from 34 mounts (24% strike-rate) and she can keep the ball rolling this afternoon. Her six rides today vary in price from 4-1 to 33-1 with I LOVE DAD (3.50) one of the more interesting ones. The son of Ardad steps out of selling grade for the first time to contest this 6f nursery but his speed figures suggest he’ll be competitive. TEN COMMITMENTS (4.50) didn’t enjoy the Polytrack surface when only fifth here last time but form figures on turf of 221 (1-3) suggest he’ll be thereabouts and Osborne rates a buy at 28 in the LINGFIELD JOCKEYS market with Spreadex

Recommendation: Buy SAFFIE OSBORNE in Lingfield Jockeys.

 

LINGFIELD 2.20

George Scott’s BAROQUE BOY (number 1 on the racecard today) was very disappointing at Bath last time, trailing home ten lengths behind the winner in sixth place despite starting as the 13-8 favourite, but the race was not run to suit his patient style and he’s quickly returned to the all-weather. He scored at Wolverhampton the last time he ran on synthetics and his trainer has a fine recent record with geldings in all-weather handicaps, scoring with 32 of the 119 qualifiers (27%) since the beginning of 2022 for a profit of £27.71 to the usual £1 stake (expected winners = 21.09, A/E = 1.52). Rather than back him in the outright betting it might be best to sell at 9.1 in the DOUBLE NUMBER OF WINNER market with Spreadex, which will lessen the blow if odd-on favourite GRACIOUS LEADER (no.4) should prevail.

Recommendation: Sell DOUBLE NUMBER OF WINNER in Lingfield 2.20

 

SALISBURY 7.40

BAMA LAMA is on the drift this morning but that was the case last time when James Millman’s consistent mare won at Ffos Las (7-1 from 7-2). That success took her handicap record in the months of July and August to 11223312611 (5-11), with the sixth-place excusable as she did too much too soon over 6f on soft ground at Ffos Las. She looks well drawn in stall 2 and can continue to make hay while the son shines. Buy in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market or take a fixed odds price.

Recommendation: Back BAMA LAMA in Salisbury 7.40


RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day – See our free NAP bet today, plus Andy Newton’s ‘Lay of the Day’ tip.


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