Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Spreadex Analysis – Tuesday, July 23rd

Andrew Mount
Andrew Mount

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount writes for the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, both published by the Racing Post, as well as GG.co.uk. His stats and systems based approach to value bets is a proven formula over time. Andrew provides SportsLens readers with his latest thoughts below.

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08/03/23

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Andrew heads to Lingfield, Musselburgh and Wolverhampton for his three recommended bets/trades on Tuesday, July 23rd. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:

LINGFIELD 3.00

Progeny of the sire Mehmas have a good record in nurseries on Polytrack, with 16 from 66 (24.2%) for a profit of £109.46 to a £1 level stake at SP and ELLOMATE, poorly drawn when fourth in a 5f handicap on turf here last time, will appreciate the switch of surfaces and could improve for the first-time cheekpieces. Only seven of the sire’s representatives have run in Polytrack nurseries in cheekpieces (first time or otherwise) and they recorded form figures of 2131331 (3-7). Buy in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market or take a fixed odds price.

Recommendation: Back ELLOMATE in Lingfield 3.00

 

MUSSELBURGH 3.15

ODD VENTURE has a respectable record when contesting Class 6 contests on turf after a recent outing (within four weeks), recording form figures under such conditions of 0006194240103 (2-13) for a profit of £16.00 to a £1 level stake at SP. Two of those runs came here at Musselburgh and they produced a 5-1 win in this race last year and a 12-1 third earlier this month. Micky Hammond’s veteran clocked a good speed figure for his latest effort, and it will be disappointing if he’s not in the first two. Buy in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market.

Recommendation: Back ODD VENTURE in Musselburgh 3.15

 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.40

Hollie Doyle has a good record when riding in all-weather handicaps for Phil Kirby, scoring on eight of her 30 mounts for a profit of £12.04 to a £1 level stake at SP. Eight of the 20 beaten horses finished second or third and CASA LUNA can put her recent course and distance disappointment behind her now that Doyle is back on board. Buy in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market or back her each-way in the fixed odds betting.

Recommendation: Back CASA LUNA in Wolverhampton 6.40


RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day – See our free NAP bet today, plus Andy Newton’s ‘Lay of the Day’ tip.


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