Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Spreadex Analysis – Thursday, August 1st

Andrew Mount
Andrew Mount

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount writes for the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, both published by the Racing Post, as well as GG.co.uk. His stats and systems based approach to value bets is a proven formula over time. Andrew provides SportsLens readers with his latest thoughts below.

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Spreadex offers both normal fixed odds betting plus spread betting on horse racing. There are some key differences between this form of gambling and placing regular fixed odds bets. Get the calls right and punters could win big, but the potential to lose money can be much higher. Intrigued? Then check out this how to spread bet on horse racing guide:

Andrew returns to Glorious Goodwood (day 3) for his three recommended bets/trades on Thursday, August 1st. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:

GOODWOOD 1.50

ARABIC LEGEND found the cut back to 1m against him when ninth of 13 at Newmarket last time and can be supported now back up in trip to 1m2f. Karl Burke’s son of Dubawi had looked in need of a stiffer test of stamina when runner-up over 1m1f at the Curragh on his penultimate start. This sometimes-keen sort should be able to get a nice tow into the race and will get plenty of cover from stall 2. Buy in the Spreadex 50-30-20-10 market or take a fixed odds price.

Recommendation: Back ARABIC LEGEND in Goodwood 1.50

 

GOODWOOD 5.20

In the past ten years newcomers are just one from 61 in this and by ignoring the nine qualifiers in this renewal we are left with a shortlist of just four – AMICA (stall 13 of 13), BOUVIER (stall 1), STELLENBOSCH (stall 3) and TAP DANCER (stall 7). I’m especially interested in the last-named, whose stablemate Wisper was desperate unlucky here yesterday. The daughter of Territories needed the experience when a highly-respectable 66-1 fifth of 13 at Salisbury on last month’s debut and backing her sire’s progeny on their second career start, on turf only, would have found seven winners from 29 runners (prior to the run of Velvet Vortex in the 8.40 at Leicester last night) for a profit of £26.50 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 3.67, A/E = 1.91). Buy in the Spreadex 50-30-20-10 market or take a fixed odds price.

Recommendation: Back TAP DANCER in Goodwood 5.20

 

GOODWOOD 5.55

There’s not a huge amount of early pace on offer in this 1m handicap given the size of the field and JUNGLE MAC, well drawn in stall 2 of 20 should be able to stalk likely leader THE ICE PHOENIX (stall 13) before kicking on in the straight. Jack Channon’s gelding fared best of the prominent racers when third to subsequent Britannia winner Mickley at Doncaster in late May, form that was also franked by fourth-placed Love Billy Boy who scored at Chester on his next outing. Jungle Mac’s three subsequent runs have produced form figures of 221 (1-3), with the first defeat by a head. This consistent sort now has form figures of 3221343221 (2-10) since his debut defeat at Redcar last spring and it will be disappointing if he isn’t in the frame once again. Buy in the Spreadex 50-30-20-10 market or take a fixed odds price.

Recommendation: Back JUNGLE MAC in Goodwood 5.55


RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day – See our free NAP bet today, plus Andy Newton’s ‘Lay of the Day’ tip.


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