Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
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Andrew bids to get the new week off to a flying start with two recommended bets/trades at Ayr and Southwell on Monday, April 29th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
AYR 2.15
This season’s two meetings at Pontefract have seen low-drawn prominent racers dominate and that was certainly the case in the Placepot-busting 5f novice stakes won by Hot To Dot on April 22nd. The first three home (16-1, 40-1 and 9-1) were drawn in stalls 4, 1 and 3 of 11 and were described by the Racing Post as ‘soon prominent’, ‘led’ and ‘soon midfield’. The winner and runner-up, HARSWELL DANDY, looked flattered and it’s those who raced wide who were the ones to take from the race. Harswell Dandy is forecast to start as the 7-4 favourite today, but I’d be surprised if he confirms the form with Pontefract fifth PASTORAL WAY, who ran green and was disadvantaged by his wide track position. He also has a Johnston newcomer to contend with and looks worth selling in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market.
Recommendation: Oppose HARSWELL DANDY in Ayr 2.15
SOUTHWELL 4.10
KODEBREAKER is something of a frustrating individual, landing just three of his 50 career starts, but he often places and does seem best when drawn with a running rail to his inside. Michael Herrington’s veteran has won three of his seven starts when drawn in stall 1 (+£13.50 to a £1 level stake at SP) and finished second and third in two of the four defeats. He’s 0-43 when drawn in stall 2 or above. Today’s stall 1 draw looks ideal, and the booking of Jason Hart represents a jockey uplift. Buy in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market or back him each-way in the fixed odds betting.
Recommendation: Back KODEBREAKER in Southwell 4.10
RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day – See our free NAP bet today, plus Andy Newton’s ‘Lay of the Day’ tip.
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