Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Spreadex Analysis – Friday, November 3rd

Andrew Mount
Andrew Mount

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.

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08/03/23

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Andrew successfully opposed TRAILBLAZER (6th, 7-2f) on Thursday and has three recommended bets/trades on Friday, November 3rd. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:

NEWMARKET 12.50

Michael O’Callaghan sent Angelic Light over to land the 2018 running of the “Bosra Sham” Fillies’ Stakes and this 6f Listed contest also went to Ireland. O’Callaghan’s NAVASSA ISLAND has only won a good-ground Curragh maiden from five starts but four of her runs came on a sound surface and she improved for good to soft going when third in a fillies’ Group 3 at Ayr last time. The daughter of Territories is bred to relish today’s heavy conditions and further improvement looks likely. Buy in the Spreadex 50-30-20-10 market or take a fixed odds price.

Recommendation: Back NAVASSA ISLAND in Newmarket 12.50

 

WETHERBY JOCKEYS

HARRY SKELTON is a jockey to have on your side at Wetherby when conditions are testing, often tracking very wide in search of the better ground. Supporting all his mounts at the Yorkshire venue, regardless of underfoot conditions, would have found 51 winners from 153 bets (33.33% strike-rate) for a profit of £8.09 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those who were in the top four in the betting were 61 from 127 (40.2%) for a profit of £34.09. PRESENTING NELLY (12.40), VIRGINIA LODGE (3.35) and ASTA LA PASTA (4.10) all have realistic claims in their respective races and a buy of Skelton in the Spreadex JOCKEYS MARKET looks warranted. Fixed odds punters might want to combine his mounts in a multiple bet.

 

NEWCASTLE 6.15

ROGUE FORCE was only sixth of the ten runners when 7-1 for a 7f Ayr handicap on his latest outing but that run took his turf score to zero from 13 and he’ll be happier back on the all-weather. He won three times at Kempton when with Tom Clover and this will be his first outing on synthetics for current trainer Mike Smith. Admittedly, his sole previous Tapeta run (at Wolverhampton) resulted in a heavy defeat but he failed to settle that day and his sire gets plenty of winners at Newcastle. Buy in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market or back him each-way.

Recommendation: Back ROGUE FORCE in Newcastle 6.15


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