Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew added two more winners on Friday (3-1 & 10-11) to add to this week’s already impressive haul and has five picks on Saturday, March 23rd. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below..
NEWBURY 1.40
LARIO (system – Harry Derham stable switchers)
Up-and-coming handler Harry Derham has a cracking record at the first time of asking with horses he takes over from other yards, scoring with 17 of the 41 qualifiers (41.5%) for a profit of £61.28 to the usual £1 level stake at SP. LARIO, successful in a Plumpton maiden hurdle on his final outing for Anthony Charlton, can continue his progression.
DONCASTER 1.50
MYSTICAL ELEGANCE (system – Amo Racing-owned newcomers)
Owner Amo Racing (and horses they own in partnership) do extremely well with newcomers, regardless of age and who trains them. They had a well backed debutant score at the Curragh on Monday to take the score to 41 winners from 181 runners (22.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £40.23 to a £1 level stake at SP. The turf runners in the month of March have form figures of 12111 (4-5) and MYSTICAL ELEGANCE looks the answer to the Brocklesby Stakes.
NEWBURY 3.15
DRUMLEE SPUD (system – young progeny of Malinas, jumps handicaps)
Backing jumps handicappers aged seven or younger who were sire by Malinas would have found 133 winners from 752 bets (17.7%) for a profit of £54.43 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those running on good to soft or softer going (time based, not the official going verdict) were 86 from 455 (18.9%) for a profit of £95.90. Point winner DRUMLEEE SPUD remains open to improvement after just four starts under rules and is taken to cause an upset.
DONCASTER 4.10
HARPER’S FERRY (system – Ed Walker second time out 3yos, won or beaten by 5L or less on debut)
Ed Walker has an excellent record with his second time out three-year olds and those who won or got within five lengths of the winner on debut are 16 from 46 (35.8%) for a profit of £16.89. HARPER’S FERRY only went down by a nose in second place when 50-1 for a soft-ground Newmarket novice on his sole juvenile outing and can go one better.
WOLVERHAMPTON 4.40
DUELY SPICED (system – Due Diligence, visored)
Progeny of the sire Due Diligence have a 12 from 53 record when fitted with a visor, landing 12 of their 53 starts (22.6% strike-rate) for a profit of £34.45 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those wearing a visor for the first time were four from 11 (+£39.83). The fillies were 0-4 but they all started at 40-1 or bigger and that won’t put me off from having a small interest on Gay Kelleway’s DUELY SPICED, who gets the headgear for the first time in this 5f maiden.
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RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day – See our free NAP bet today. Plus Andy Newton’s ‘Lay of the Day’ tip.
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Related
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