Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew starts the new week with three stats-based selections at Leopardstown and Wolverhampton on Monday, March 4th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below..
LEOPARDSTOWN 5.05
SOLDARO (system – Gavin Cromwell, handicap chase debut, Class 4 or lower)
Gavin Cromwell has a fine record with handicap chase debutants in Class 4 or lower company, scoring with 13 of the 47 qualifiers (27.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £41.75 to a £1 level stake at SP. SOLDARO was in good form at this time last year, landing a maiden hurdle at Clonmel on March 2nd before scoring on her handicap hurdle debut at Downpatrick on April 2nd. She hasn’t shown a huge amount in six starts over fences, but all came in beginners’ chase company, and she might do better now switched to handicap company.
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30
MISS ANYA (system – Kodi Bear, Wolverhampton, 5f-7f only)
Progeny of the sire Kodi Bear have a 16 from 98 record when running over 7f or shorter on Wolverhampton’s Tapeta surface and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £57.48 to a £1 level stake at SP. The Richard Hughes-trained MISS ANYA is a seven-race maiden but only went down by a short head over 5f here on her penultimate start and, though only fifth over the same course and distance in first-time cheekpieces on her latest outing, she was always playing catch-up under patient tactics after an awkward start. The return to 6f won’t hurt and she can break her duck.
WOLVERHAMPTON 8.30
UNICO (system – Marco Botti, all-weather handicappers, fresh, 3-4yos)
Marco Botti does well with his three and four-year-old handicappers on the all-weather, especially those running fresh (after a break of at least 40 days). Since the spring of 2016, he’s scored with 49 of the 258 qualifiers (19% strike-rate) for a profit of £113.28 to a £1 level stake at SP. He went close with Beauty Generation on this angle at Kempton on Saturday night (second by a neck at 17-2) and UNICO looks interesting on her all-weather handicap debut.
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RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day – See our free NAP bet today, plus Andy Newton’s ‘Lay of the Day’ tip.
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Related
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