Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew heads to the Flat turf meetings at Ayr, Windsor and Wetherby for his three stats-based selections on Monday, June 3rd. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below..
AYR 3.45
BOY DOUGLAS (system – New Bay handicappers, top three finish last time out)
Progeny of the sire New Bay tend to hold their form well and the handicappers who finished in the first three on their latest outing have a 93 from 340 record (27.4% strike-rate) for a profit of £126.05 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 65.06, A/E = 1.43). BOY DOUGLAS finished second at 28-1 at Thirsk last time, beaten only by 11-2 stablemate Hale End, and can go one better in this 1m handicap.
WINDSOR 7.15
AEROSPACE (system – jockey upgrade, Hollie Doyle taking over from Luke Morris)
Hollie Doyle was a cracking recent record on runners that were ridden by Luke Morris last time out, scoring on 18 of the 62 qualifiers (29%) for a profit of £43.24 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 10.00, A/E = 1.80). AEROSPACE was only sixth of 12 under Morris at Newcastle last time but the drop in trip and return of Doyle (1-1 on the five-year-old) can spark a revival.
WETHERBY 9.00
DC FLYER (system – Kevin Ryan, Washington DC)
Kevin Ryan does well with the offspring of Washington DC, scoring with nine of the 49 qualifiers (18.4% strike-rate) for a profit of £62.13 to a £1 level stake at SP. DC FLYER improved from his debut effort when mid-division in the first-time blinkers at Ripon on his latest outing and is worth chancing at a double-figure price.
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