Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew has three-stats-based selections at Musselburgh (jumps) and Dundalk (all-weather) on Friday, December 1st. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
MUSSELBURGH 1.00
LENEBANE (system – Rebecca Menzies, jumps handicaps, December-January)
Rebecca Menzies has a fine record with her handicap hurdlers and chasers in December/January, scoring with 48 of the 261 qualifiers (18.4% strike-rate) for a huge profit of £136.91 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 32.15, A/E = 1.49). Those who had raced within the past 28 days were 38 from 158 (24.1%, +£136.91) and LENEBANE, only beaten by a little over five lengths when a 14-1 fifth at Doncaster on November 17th, is taken to break her duck this afternoon.
MUSSELBURGH 1.35
WARRIORS STORY (system – Nick Alexander, second run after a wind operation)
In-form Nick Alexander has a seven from 34 record with horses on their second start back following wind surgery for a profit of £5.13 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those who had raced within the past six weeks and finished in the top six on their latest outing were six from 16 for a profit of £19.88. WARRIORS STORY, fourth at Kelso on last month’s reappearance, has only scored once from 17 starts but looks worth a small bet to double his career tally.
DUNDALK 5.30
MANHATTAN DREAMER (system – Amo Racing-owned newcomers)
Newcomers owned by Amo Racing, regardless of age and who trains them, have a 40 from 117 record (22.6% strike-rate) for a profit of £41.98 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those trained by Adrian Murray have form figures of 212121 (3-6) for a profit of £20.50 which suggests a big run from MANHATTAN DREAMER in this 6f fillies’ maiden.
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