With fans and experts alike bickering over their pre-season predictions, we have put together a Premier League stats pack to provide a little clarity, and hopefully lend you a helping hand when placing your outright bets for the 2023/24 campaign.
Premier League Stats For Outright Betting – 2023/24
Premier League Title Winners
- Manchester City have won five of the previous six titles.
- Pep Guardiola will look to make even more history by leading City to a fourth successive title – a feat no team has ever achieved in the English top-flight.
- Arsenal led the Premier League for 248 days last season – no team has ever topped the table for so long without lifting the title at the end of it.
- Liverpool are the only side to break City’s monopoly over the league since 2017.
- Not since 2012/13 have Manchester United been crowned champions – they were the ‘next-best after City and Arsenal last season, finishing 14 points off the champions.
Manchester City – 4/5 | Arsenal – 5/1 | Liverpool – 8/1 | Manchester United – 14/1 | Chelsea – 16/1
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Top Four Candidates
- Manchester City last finished outside the top four in 2009/10.
- Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester United are all odds-on for a top four finish.
- Arsenal top four record since 2013/14: x2 finishes
- Liverpool top four record since 2013/14: x7 finishes
- Manchester United top four record since 2013/14: x5 finishes
- Chelsea are handed a longer price of 13/8 – they have finished in the top four seven times in that same span as the above teams, but their 12th placed finish was their second-lowest ever in the Premier League.
- Newcastle qualified for the Champions League for the first time since the 2002/03 season last term – they are 6/4 to do it again after significant investment over the summer.
- Aston Villa, Brighton and Tottenham are all considered to be in with an outside chance, with the latter having qualified for the Champions League five times in the last 10 seasons.
Manchester City – 1/16 | Arsenal – 4/11 | Liverpool – 4/7 | Manchester United – 8/11 | Chelsea – 13/8 |
Newcastle – 6/4 Tottenham – 7/2 | Aston Villa – 5/1 | Brighton – 7/1
Relegation
Points Needed to Survive
- 2023: 36 points
- 2022: 36 points
- 2021: 29 points
- 2020: 35 points
- 2019: 35 points
- 2018: 34 points
- 2017: 35 points
- 2016: 38 points
- 2015: 36 points
- 2014: 34 points
- 2013: 37 points
- Newcomers Luton have never featured in the Premier League, and were the second-lowest scorers in the Championship‘s top 10 last season despite being promoted.
- Sheffield United face financial troubles off the field which has hampered their plans to invest over the summer.
- Everton have finished 16th and 17th in the past two seasons, and scored the second-least goals in 2022/23.
- Nottingham Forest survived by the skin of their teeth last year, securing survival in the penultimate round.
- The Reds had the worst away form of any side, winning just once on the road and picking up eight points from a possible 56.
- Wolves have been stripped to the core this summer with the club battling Financial Fair Play constraints – this saw Julen Lopetegui head for the exit before the season even began.
- Wolves were also the lowest scorers in the league last term, finding the net on just 31 occasions across their 38 games.
- Bournemouth survived comfortably in the end, but the stared relegation in the face for the vast majority of the season. A new manager – Andoni Iraola – arrives with much promise but they will be wary of their worrying defensive record.
- The Cherries conceded 71 goals (3rd most) including 43 in 19 games away from home.
Luton – 4/11 | Sheffield United – 4/6 | Nottingham Forest – 9/4 | Bournemouth – 5/2 | Everton, Wolves – 11/4 | Burnley – 10/3
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