Whittle down the fields with our Newbury horse racing trends and tips for the ITV racing this Saturday (23rd Sept). You can use these Newbury racing stats, on Dubai Duty Free Day, to find the best profiles of previous winners of the races and in the process put history on your side.
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Newbury Horse Racing Trends and Tips For ITV Racing On Saturday 23rd Sept 2023
It’s Dubai Duty Free Day at Newbury racecourse this Saturday and the ITV4 cameras are heading to the Berkshire track to take in four races LIVE.
The action gets going at 1:30pm with the Group 3 World Trophy Stakes – an event that’s been won by a 5 year-old or younger for 16 of the last 21 years, so the hot 4 year-old favourite Sense Of Duty ticks this key Newbury horse racing stat.
Next up is the Autumn Cup (2:05pm), which is a new race, so no trends as such to go on, but we do know that trainers William Haggas (20%) and Roger Charlton (19%) have good records at the track with their 3 year-olds and run Laafi and Valsad.
The competitive Dubai Duty Free Handicap is next (2:40pm) in a contest this year that only has 8 runners, but they all seem to have a squeak. However, we’ve seen a 3 or 4 year-old has win 12 times in the last 13 runnings, so Totnes, Balance Play and Le Mans look interesting here.
We end the ITV live Newbury action with the Group Two Mill Reef Stakes (3:15pm), where the Wathnan Racing-owned Mister Sketch is one of the big fancies. This Eve Johnson Houghton runner impressed last time at Salisbury when winning by 9 1/2 lengths – so, despite this being a step up in grade, looks a colt with a lot of potential.
You can see the latest Newbury horse racing trends for all four of the ITV races below – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles based on previous winners of the race.
RELATED: 2023 Ayr Gold Cup Trends To Help Find Saturday’s Big Handicap Winner
Newbury Horse Racing Tips and Trends for Saturday (ITV Racing)
1.30 – Dubai International Airport World Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 5f34y ITV4
- 20/21 – Raced four or more times that season
- 19/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
- 18/21 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
- 17/21 – Won a Listed or Group race before
- 17/21 – Won over 5f previously
- 16/21 – Aged 5 or younger
- 16/21 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
- 14/21 – Won 4 or more times
- 13/21 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
- 8/21 – Previous Group race winners
- 7/21 – Won their last race
- 6/21 – Ran at the Curragh last time out (inc 3 of last 10 winners)
- 6/21 – Favourites
- 5/21 – Mare winners
2.05 – Dubai Duty Free Autumn Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m 5 1/2f ITV4
- Trainer William Haggas has a 20% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
- Trainer Roger Charlton has a 19% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
- Jockey James Doyle has a 26% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
- Jockey Hector Crouch has a 24% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
- Jockey Richard Kingscote is just 1 from 41 riding 4+ year-olds at the track
RELATED: Ayr Horse Racing Trends and Tips For ITV Racing On Saturday 23rd Sept 2023
2.40 – Dubai Duty Free Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m2f ITV4
- 12/13 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
- 12/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
- 12/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
- 12/13 – Won over 1m2f or further before
- 11/13 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
- 11/13 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
- 10/13 – Won 3 or 4 times
- 7/13 – Won last time out
- 6/13 – Rated between 92 and 97 (inc)
- 4/13 – Winning favourites
- 4/13 – Winners from stalls 1 (2) or 13 (2)
- 4/13 – Had run at Newbury before
3.15 – Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y ITV4
- 16/21 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
- 16/21 – Won from draw 5 or lower
- 16/21 – Won over 6f previously
- 15/21 – Raced 3 or more times
- 15/21 – Favourites placed
- 13/21 – Foaled in March or later
- 12/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
- 10/21 – Favourites (or joint) that won
- 8/21 – Won exactly two races before
- 7/21 – Won by an April foal
- 7/21 – Won their previous race
- 5/21 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
- 4/21 – Ran in the Gimcrack last time out (York)
- 2/21 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of the last 7)
- 2/21 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 4)
- 2/21 – Trained by Richard Hannon
- 2/21 – Trained by Karl Burke
- 2/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey
- 0/21 – Filly winners
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