The Melbourne Cup is billed as the ‘Race That Stops a Nation’, but what are the key trends that can help you find the winner of the 2022 Melbourne Cu? We’ve got the Flemington Park stats that matter, plus the latest betting and a stack of free bets to use on the race.
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Melbourne Cup 2022: What Date/Time?
📅Date: Tuesday
🕙Time: 4am (UK) or 3pm (Australian AEDT Time)
🏇Racecourse: Flemington
💰 Winner: £2,365,591
📺 TV: Sky Racing
DID YOU KNOW? 16 of the last 18 Melbourne Cup winners came from stalls 5 or higher. So, why not grab up a FREE £30 bet with BetUK to use on the Melbourne Cup.
Melbourne Cup 2022 Trends and Stats
See below our key Melbourne Cup trends to apply to the final runners ahead of Tuesday’s big Flemington Park race. Based on the last 18 runnings of the race.
- 18/18 – Had won a Group class race before
- 16/18 – Won 8 or fewer races before
- 16/18 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
- 15/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
- 15/18 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
- 15/18 – Raced at Geelong (2), Flemington (3), Caulfield (4) or Moon Valley (6) last time
- 13/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
- 12/18 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
- 12/18 – Aged 5 or older
- 12/18 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
- 12/18 – Had raced at Flemington Park before (8 won there)
- 10/18 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
- 11/18 – Won by a AUS-based horse
- 11/18 – Aged 6 or older
- 10/18 – Horses from stall 10 or 11 placed
- 9/18 – Had won over 1m7f or further before
- 9/18 – Won by a 6 year-old
- 8/18 – Placed favourites
- 4/18 – Had won just once before
- 4/18 – Won last time out
- 4/18 – Had raced in a previous Melbourne Cup
- 3/18 – Winning favourites
- 3/18 – English/Irish winners
- 2/18 – French-trained winners
- The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 18/1
DID YOU KNOW? Trainer Bart Cummings has won the Melbourne Cup 12 times!
The Melbourne Cup is staged each year on the first Tuesday in November and is dubbed as ‘the race that stops a nation’.
Run over 2 miles, it’s the richest handicap run over that distance in the world and the 2022 Melbourne Cup will be staged on Tuesday 1st November.
Flemington racecourse in Melbourne (Australia) is the host of the contest that holds a £2.36 million first prize, while the race always attracts runners from all corners of the globe, but there are also many key pointers on ‘how to bet on the Melbourne Cup’.
Despite a string of overseas winners (3 in the last 5), overall, it’s generally the Australian-based yards that hold sway in the race – they’ve won 11 of the last 18 runnings – and wrestled back their treasured horse race 12 months ago the Chris Waller-trained Verry Elleegant winning under jockey James McDonald – the first winner for both jockey and trainer.
RELATED: Melbourne Cup 2022: Which UK and Irish Horses Are Running?
What Are The Key Melbourne Cup Trends To Look For?
There are several other key Melbourne Cup trends and stats to take into the race when trying to find the winner. When the final runners are out (normally a few days before the race) you can use these trends to narrow down the big field and highlight the best profiles of recent winners.
Proven Group One Form And A Recent Run A Must
For example, ALL of the last 18 Melbourne Cup winners had won at Group Class level in the past, while a massive 15 of the last 18 winners had raced in the last four weeks. Plus, if you want to take this trend a bit further then 12 of the last 18 winners raced in the last two weeks.
Look At Which Track Your Fancy Last Raced
Also note horses that had their prep runs at the Aussie tracks of Flemington, Geelong, Caufield or Moon Valley last time out – 15 of the last 18 winners raced at one of those four tracks before winning the Melbourne Cup, including the 2021 winner Verry Elleegant, who was third in the Cox Plate (watch 2022 running below) at Moon Valley in its previous race.
What About The Melbourne Cup Draw?
Despite being run over two miles, the draw has played a big role too. 16 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 5 or higher. While, taking the draw stat a bit further, it could pay to note that 12 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 9 or higher – the 2021 winner, Verry Elleegant hailed from stall 18
The 2022 Melbourne Cup favourite, Deauville Legend, is drawn in stall 9, while those drawn between 1-4 are Grand Promenade (1), Stockman (2), Emissary (3) and Vow and Declare (4).
Best Melbourne Cup Age?
Even though we saw a 3 year-old winner in 2017 and 2018, then a 4 year-old take the race in 2019 – it’s actually worth noting that 12 of the last 18 winners were aged 5 or older, backed up again in 2020 with a 7 year-old winner and last year’s heroine Verry Elleegant being a 6 year-old. Deauville Legend is a 3 year-old.
How Have The Melbourne Cup Favourites Done?
Considering the competitive nature of the race the market leaders haven’t done too bad, with three on the last 18 favourites winning (17%) – with the most recent being Fiorente back in 2013. The jollies also have a fair record of being placed with 8 of the last 18 finishing in the top four (44%) backed up again 12 months ago with Incentivise finishing second as favourite.
This year’s likely Melbourne Cup favourite is the James Ferguson UK runner, Deauville Legend @ 3/1 with BetUK
A Good Recent Run Is Another Thing To Look For
Finally, look for horses that finished in the top three in their most recent race (13 of the last 18), plus had won at the Flemington track in the past – 8 of the last 18 winners had tasted success at the Aussie course previously.
Good luck and G’day!
Melbourne Cup 2022 Betting & Key Runners
See below the latest betting ahead of the 2022 Melbourne Cup on Tuesday 1st November.
| Melbourne Cup Horse | Latest Odds | Bookmaker |
| DEAUVILLE LEGEND | 3/1 |  |
| WITHOUT A FIGHT | 15/2 | |
| REALM OF FLOWERS | 9/1 | |
| GOLD TRIP | 10/1 | |
| MONTEFILIA | 11/1 | |
| HOO YA MAL | 12/1 | |
| DUAIS | 11/8 | |
| EMISSARY | 16/1 | |
| LUNAR FLARE | 16/1 | |
| VOW AND DECLARE | 16/1 | |
| SMOKIN ROMANS | 20/1 | |
| YOUNG WERTHER | 20/1 | |
| INTERPRETATION | 25/1 | |
| KNIGHTS ORDER | 25/1 | |
| STOCKMAN | 25/1 | |
| CAMORRA | 33/1 | |
| DAQIANSWEET JUNIOR | 33/1 | |
| HIGH EMOCEAN | 33/1 | |
| ARAPAHO | 33/1 | |
| NUMERIAN | 40/1 | |
| SERPENTINE | 40/1 | |
| GRAND PROMENADE | 50/1 | |
| POINT NEPEAN | 50/1 | |
| TRALEE ROSE | 66/1 | |
All odds correct as of 08:10 BST on Mon 31 Oct and subject to change
Recent Melbourne Cup Winners
- 2021 – VERRY ELLEEGANT (17/1)
- 2020 – TWILIGHT PAYMENT (25/1)
- 2019 – VOW AND DECLARE (10/1)
- 2018 – CROSS COUNTER (8/1)
- 2017 – REKINDLING (14/1)
- 2016 – ALMANDIN (10/1)
- 2015 – PRINCE OF PENZANCE (100/1)
- 2014 – PROTECTIONIST (7/1)
- 2013 – FIORENTE (6/1 fav)
- 2012 – GREEN MOON (19/1)
Melbourne Cup Runner By Runner Preview and Tips
WATCH: Verry Elleegant Winning The 2021 Melbourne Cup
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