Greatwood Hurdle Trends 2022: Cheltenham Stats To Find The Winner

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The Greatwood Hurdle trends are a great way of finding the best profiles of past winners of Sunday’s Cheltenham race. Apply these stats to the 2022 runners and narrow down your search for the Greatwood Hurdle winner.

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Greatwood Hurdle Trends 2022 and Cheltenham Stats

See below our key Greatwood Hurdle 2022 trends to apply to the final runners ahead of Sunday’s Grade 3 contest at Cheltenham.

  • 18/20 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
  • 17/20 – Had won a 2m1f (or further) hurdles race before
  • 14/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
  • 14/20 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
  • 13/20 – Finished in the top two last time out
  • 13/20 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 12/20 – Officially rated 140 or higher
  • 12/20 – Had run at Cheltenham before
  • 11/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
  • 11/20 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
  • 9/20 – Placed favourites
  • 8/20 – Carried 11-4 or more
  • 8/20 – Came from the first three in the betting
  • 7/20 – Won their previous race
  • 7/20 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
  • 4/20 – Winners that carried 11-12
  • 4/20 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
  • 3/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
  • 2/20 – Winning favourites
  • 2/20 – Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 6)
  • 2/20 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 5)
  • 2/20 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
  • The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 10/1
  • 6 of the last 13 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

Greatwood Hurdle 2022: What Date/Time?

📅Date: 2:55pm (Class 1 Premier Handicap, 2m 1/2f) – Sunday 13th Nov 2022
🏇Racecourse: Cheltenham
💰 Purse/Winner: £90,032
📺 TV: ITV / Racing TV


DID YOU KNOW? 14 of the last 20 Greatwood Hurdle winners were aged 4 or 5. So, why not snap-up a FREE £50 bet with 10bet to use on Sunday’s Cheltenham race?

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Greatwood Hurdle Trends 2022 For Cheltenham Race

west cork
Last Year’s Greatwood Hurdle Winner – West Cork

Look For Horses With No More Than 4 Wins Over Hurdles

12 months ago, West Cork upheld this trend after coming into the race with just two career wins to his name. Therefore, with a massive 90% of the last 20 Greatwood Hurdle winners having won no more than four times over hurdles in their careers, this is certainly a good place to start with the Cheltenham stats for Sunday’s big race.

Horses Aged 4 and 5 Have The Best Recent Records

Yes, last year’s winner West Cork ticked the previous Greatwood Hurdle trend, but this one he didn’t. The Dan Skelton hurdler defied his age to win the 2m 1/2f race as a 7 year-old, but it’s worth pointing out he’s lightly-raced for his age having had a massive 631-days off before winning this prize last November.

However, despite the result last year, we’ve are still happy to focus on the horses aged 4 and 5 years-old – why? Well, a decent 70% of the last 20 Greatwood Hurdle winners ticked this Cheltenham stat.

At this stage, if the two leading Irish fancies – Thousand Tears and Dads Lad – make the trip over, they would both need to overcome this Greatwood Hurdle trend being 7 year-olds.

A Recent Run Is Not To Be Sniffed At

Next up is to look for horses that have had a recent outing and when we mean a ‘recent outing’ we are talking within the last six weeks. This Greatwood Hurdle trend has been responsible for 14 of the last 20 (70%) of winners, so it certainly makes sense to see when your fancy was last in action.

Top Tip – For those that don’t know, on most racecards the little number next to (or under) the horse’s name indicates how many days it last ran (see below)

racecard

Look For A Top Two Finish Last Time Out

With a 65% strike-rate in the last 20 years, then it could also pay to look for horses that finished in the top two in their last race. Yes, a fair few are likely to tick this Greatwood Hurdle trend, but two that don’t (if running) are the fancied pair of I Like To Move It and the Emmet Mullins-trained Thousand Tears, who were both unplaced last time out.

Just 2 Winning Favourites In The Last 20 Runnings

The last Greatwood Hurdle favourite to win the race was the classy grey Detroit City in 2006, so this Premier Handicap race is now on a run of 15 renewals without the market leader winning – great for the bookmakers, but not such good news for favourite-backing punters.

That said, despite the poor recent record of the Greatwood Hurdle favourite, we’ve still seen the average winning SP in the last 20 years at 10/1, while 45% of the last 20 jollies have been placed – suggesting we don’t have to look too far down the betting market for the winner.

Respect The Alan King, Dan Skelton and Paul Nicholls Stables

Alan King trains our horse racing NAP of the Day for 8 October 2022

The Emmet Mullins yard took the Greatwood Hurdle in 2020 with the very well-handicapped The Shunter, so their potential runner Thousand Tears will be hoping to provide them with another success.

But, from the domestic yards, it’s been the Philip Hobbs (4 wins), Dan Skelton (2 wins), Paul Nicholls (3 wins) and Alan King (2 wins) yards that have dominated – between them, they’ve won 11 of the last 20 runnings of the Greatwood Hurdle.

Hobbs doesn’t have any entries this year, but at this stage the other trio do. Alan King has Nina The Terrier and Harbour Lake, Paul Nicholls has Sonigino, while Dan Skelton has Playful Saint flying his flag.


DID YOU KNOW: 18 of the last 20 Greatwood Hurdle winners had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles.


Greatwood Hurdle 2022 Betting & Key Runners

See below the latest betting odds ahead of the Greatwood Hurdle at Cheltenham on Sunday 13th November 2022.

Greatwood Hurdle Horse Latest Odds Bookmaker
GIN COCO 4/1 10bet logo new
SONIGINO 13/2 10bet logo new
A DIFFERENT KIND 7/1 10bet logo new
DADS LAD 7/1 10bet logo new
I LIKE TO MOVE IT 15/2 10bet logo new
HARBOUR LAKE 9/1 10bet logo new
SEVERANCE 10/1 10bet logo new
THOUSAND TEARS 10/1 10bet logo new
MARK OF GOLD 14/1 10bet logo new
NINA THE TERRIER 16/1 10bet logo new
CORMIER 16/1 10bet logo new
FIRST IMPRESSION 22/1 10bet logo new
N’GOLO 33/1 10bet logo new
N’GOLO 25/1 10bet logo new
PLAYFUL SAINT 25/1 10bet logo new
CASTEL GANDOLFO 66/1 10bet logo new

All odds correct as of 09:51 BST on Sun 13 Nov and subject to change

Recent Greatwood Hurdle Winners

  • 2021 – WEST CORK (11/1)
  • 2020 – THE SHUNTER (13/2)
  • 2019 – HARAMBE (16/1)
  • 2018 – NIETZSCHE (20/1)
  • 2017 – ELGIN (10/1)
  • 2016 – NORTH HILL HARVEY (6/1)

WATCH: West Cork Winning The 2021 Greatwood Hurdle

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