See below our Glorious Goodwood horse racing trends on Wednesday 2nd August. The ITV horse racing cameras will be at the West Sussex track to take in four more races that are headlined by the Group One Sussex Stakes (3:35pm). A race this year that is a fascinating match-up between prolific winner Paddington and the Frankie Dettori-ridden Inspiral.
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Glorious Goodwood Horse Racing Trends: ITV Racing Stats For Wednesday 2nd August 2023
The ITV horse racing cameras are in action on the second day of the 2023 Glorious Goodwood Festival with four more races at the West Sussex track to look forward to that include the Sussex Stakes (3:35pm), Molecomb Stakes (3:00) and Oak Tree Stakes (2:25pm).
See below the best Glorious Goodwood trends for the main LIVE ITV races. You can use these horse racing stats to find the best profile of past winners and put history on your side.
RELATED: Sussex Stakes Runners Guide 2023 – Paddington Faces Five Rivals at Glorious Goodwood
Glorious Goodwood Horse Racing Trends Including the 2023 Sussex Stakes
A race the Mark Johnston (now Charlie) yard have done well in over the years, so their runners Cool Party, Alumnus, French Invasion, with Frankie ridding, and Struth are respected.
We’ve also seen the Stoute team win 3 of the last 19 and they run Fox Journey. The likely favourite is the Haggas runner Amelto, but he’s not been out for 84 days and, therefore, has a big Goodwood trend against him here as ALL of the last 19 winners of this day two opener ran in the last 6 weeks.
Charlie Appleby and William Buick teamed up to win the race last year and try again – this time with Tagabawa, which is another to note in the betting market.
We’ve also seen 11 of the last 19 winners carry just 8-13 or less, so just four tick this stat – French Invasion, The Goat, Alumnus and Cool Party.
1.50 – Coral Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV
- 19/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
- 16/19 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
- 12/19 – Rated between 84-94
- 11/19 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
- 11/19 – Won over 1m4f previously
- 9/19 – Came from outside the top 3 in the market
- 8/19 – Won their last race
- 4/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
- 2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
- 2/19 – Winning favourites
- 13 of the last 17 winners came from stall 10 or lower
- Secret State (11/4 fav) won the race in 2022
2.25 – Whispering Angel Oak Tree Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 7f ITV
With ALL of the last 14 winners not winning last time out this would be a negative for the only recent winner in the field – White Moonlight.
16 runners are entered but ALL of the last 11 winners coming from stalls 10 or lower, this means we could rule out six – Sydneyarms Chelsea, Jumbly, Samedi Rien, Magical Sunset, Sicilian Defence and Matilda Picotte.
It’s also interesting that 71% of the last 7 winners came from just stalls 1, 2 or 3 – with this in mind, Fast Response, Internationalangel and Breege have to command respect.
It’s also a race the 3 and 4 year-olds have dominated – winning 12 of the last 14 – so the older runners – White Moonlight and Internationalangel, who are both 6 year-olds old have this against them.
A top-four finish is another thing to look for, as is winning form over at least 7f.
- 14/14 – Didn’t win last time out
- 13/14 – Won between 2-4 times before
- 12/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
- 12/14 – Won over at least 7f before
- 12/14 – Officially rated 100+
- 10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
- 8/14 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the betting
- 8/14 – Irish-bred
- 5/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
- 4/14 – Had won at the track before
- 3/14 – French-trained winners (3 of the last 8)
- 4/14 – Winning favourites
- 5 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 3 or lower
- The last 11 winners came from stalls 10 or lower
- Oscula (10/3 fav) won the race in 2022
RELATED: 2023 Glorious Goodwood Quiz | Test Your Goodwood Horse Racing Knowledge
3.00 – Jaeger-LeCoultre Molecomb Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV
The Hannon camp have a top record in the race so their Baheer is shortlisted, but the favourites also have a good strike-rate here (29%) in the last 21 runnings so Kylian, who was a very impressive Listed winner at Sandown last time (5 lengths) looks the one to beat.
This Karl Burke runner also ticks the foaled stat (Feb) and having run in the last 4 weeks (26 days ago).
Of the rest, the horse from stall 1 has hit the top 3 in 7 of the last 13 renewals so at a bigger price Markakol has this Goodwood trend on its side.
- 19/21 – Had won over 5f before
- 18/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
- 16/21 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
- 16/21 – Had won between 1-2 times before
- 16/21 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
- 14/21 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
- 14/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
- 13/21 – Foaled in either Feb or March
- 12/21 – Winning distance – 1 lengths or less
- 11/21 – Won last time out
- 6/21 – Winning favourites
- 5/21 – Trained by Richard Hannon
- Horse from stall 1 has finished in the top 3 in 7 of the last 13 runnings
- Trillium (7/1) won the race in 2022
3.35 – Qatar Sussex Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV
It will be one of the shocks of the flat season if the winner of this year’s Sussex Stakes is not coming from either Paddington or Inspiral – in what looks a straight match-up here.
The last-named will be the final ride in the race for Frankie Dettori as he looks for his sixth win in this top Group One race. His first was in 1991 (Second Set) and most recent in 2019 (Too Darn Hot).
Inspiral was last seen getting chinned on the line in the Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot (neck) but has still won 6 of her 9 career starts. This will be her first run at Goodwood, but will also have to give 4lbs away to her main rival Paddington.
It’s hard to ignore the rapid improvement of Paddington this year and this rise up the ranks can continue here.
This Aidan O’Brien runner has won his last six starts, with the last three all at the top level. He’s mopped up the Irish 2000 Guineas, St James’s Palace Stakes and Coral-Eclipse Stakes, which has seen his rating rocket up to a mark of 125. Being a 3 year-old he gets a handy 7lbs and 4lbs from the others and 50% of the last 22 winners have been aged 3.
He’s also got a top draw in 4 as 11 of the last 17 winners hailed between 3-5 and his trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race five times over the years – with his most recent being The Gurkha in 2016.
Of the rest, with 3 wins in the last 6 runnings, the Jim Crowley-ridden Aldaary can do best of those at bigger prices.
- 20/22 – Won over 1m before
- 19/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
- 19/22 – Had won 4 or more times during their career
- 18/22 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
- 14/22 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
- 14/22 – Has Won a Group One previously
- 13/22 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
- 12/22 – Winning favourites
- 11/22 – Aged 3 years-old
- 4/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
- 5/22 – Aged 4 years-old
- 3/22 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (3 of the last 6)
- 3/22 – Trained by Richard Hannon
- Just 1 winner from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
- 11 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 3-5 (inc)
- Baaeed (1/6 fav) won the race in 2022
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RELATED: 2023 Glorious Goodwood Quiz | Test Your Goodwood Horse Racing Knowledge
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