The Dewhurst Stakes 2023 trends, ahead of Saturday’s big Newmarket juvenile race, will tell us if there are any horses that might be able to upset the hot favourite City Of Troy, as trainer Aidan O’Brien looks to win the UK’s best 2 year-old race for an eighth time.
Best Horse Racing Offers for Dewhurst Stakes
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When Is The 2023 Dewhurst Stakes?
đź•™Time: 2:00pm
đź“…Date: Saturday 14th Oct 2023
🏇Racecourse: Newmarket (7f)
đź’°: Winner: ÂŁ299,854
đź“ş TV: Racing TV/ ITV
🎲 Odds: City Of Troy 1/2 | Iberian 7/2 | Alyanaabi 8/1 | Henry Longfellow | Array 16/1
Dewhurst Stakes 2023 Trends To Look For
The Dewhurst Stakes is arguably the best 2 year-old race on the UK horse racing calendar as we get a chance to see some of the equine stars of the future.
In recent years this has been backed up with the mighty Frankel winning the race in 2010 before going onto cement his greatest in the coming years.
While Native Trial, who is honoured this year in the race title, took the pot in 2021 and last year we had the Frankie Dettori-ridden Chaldean take the Dewhurst before winning the Newmarket 2,000 Guineas the following season.
Therefore, it’s safe to say any horse that wins this ‘end-of-season’ juvenile prize will figure high up in the betting for two of the 2024 English Classic races – the 2,000 Guineas and Epsom Derby.
The latest horse to try and etch his way into superstardom is City Of Troy. Another on the Aidan O’Brien conveyor belt that has impressed in winning his first two starts and is already the 5/2 favourite for the 2024 Epsom Derby and 2,000 Guineas next season with the best UK horse racing betting sites.
He’ll also be trying to give trainer Aidan O’Brien his eighth win in the Dewhurst Stakes and is set to go off as the short-priced favourites – so, does he fit the key Dewhurst Stakes trends?
Sat, 14 Oct 2023 , 14:00 GMT • Newmarket • Dewhurst Stakes
Dewhurst Stakes Winners For Aidan O’Brien
- 2020: St Mark’s Basilica
- 2017: U S Navy Flag
- 2016: Churchill
- 2015: Air Force Blue
- 2013: War Command
- 2009: Beethoven
- 2001: Rock Of Gibraltar
DID YOU KNOW? An Irish-trained horse has won 12 of the last 17 runnings of the Dewhurst Stakes.
Dewhurst Stakes Trends
- 21/21 – Had run least 3 times that season
- 19/21 – Still to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
- 19/21 – Placed last time out
- 16/21 – Won over 7f before
- 16/21 – Placed favourites
- 15/21 – Won at least 3 times before
- 15/21 – Won last time out
- 15/21 – Won a Group race before
- 13/21 – Raced at Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (9) last time out
- 13/21 – Foaled in either Feb or March
- 11/21 – Won by an Irish-based yard
- 11/21 – Winning Favourites
- 8/21 – Placed horses from stall 2
- 7/21 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
- 7/21 – Placed in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season (4 won both)
- 6/21 – Returned SP 20/1 or bigger
- 6/21 – Trained by trainer Aidan O’Brien (6 wins in total)
- 4/21 – Ridden by jockey Ryan Moore
- 3/21 – Ridden by jockey Frankie Dettori (3 of the last 6)
- 3/21 – Godolphin-owned winners (3 of the last 11)
- 2/21 – Won the Epsom Derby the next season
- 2/21 – Trained by trainer Charlie Appleby
- 2/21 – Riden by jockey William Buick (2 of the last 4)
- 1/21 – Winners from stall 1
- Irish-trained runners have won 11 of the last 17 runnings
- 3 of the last 13 winners from stall 3
- Aidan O’Brien has trained 5 of the last 10 winners
- Chaldean (5/2 jfav) won the race in 2022
Looking To Oppose City Of Troy? Two Big Dewhurst Trends To Cling To
City of Troy is likely to figure in a lot of weekend horse racing accas, being a short-priced favourite.
This is because, it was hard to not been impressed with his last win in the Superlative Stakes on the July course at Newmarket in the middle of July – winning by 6 1/2 lengths.
Prior to that he won easily on debut at the Curragh early that month and has since been kept fresh with the Dewhurst Stakes the big target before possible tilts as the 2,000 Guineas and Epsom Derby next term.
City Of Troy Falls Down On Two Big Dewhurst Stakes Trends
However, if you are a horse racing punter that likes to take on these short-priced favourites, there is some good news to cling to.
Yes, City Of Troy’s trainer Aidan O’Brien has won this race seven times (5 of the last 10), so knows what’s needed and his jockey Ryan Moore has four successes to his name.
It’s also a Group One that the Irish have won 11 of the last 21 – but there are two monster stats that Cit Of Troy will need to overcome if he’s to win the Dewhurst Stakes for an eighth time for O’Brien.
Firstly – ALL of the last 21 Dewhurst Stakes winners had raced at least 3 times before. City Of Troy only has two runs under his belt to date.
Secondly, 15 of the last 21 winners (71%) had won at least three times. Now, some may argue how can City Of Troy win 3 races, if he’s only run in two – but this ‘linked-in’ trend to the previous one still applies.
So, with these Newmarket stats in mind – are you still with City Of Troy, or against him?
We give you the stats, you make the decisions.
See below the last 10 Dewhurst Stakes winners and how many runs they had prior to their Newmarket victory.
- 2022 – Chaldean – 4 previous runs
- 2021 – Native Trail – 3 previous runs
- 2020 – St Mark’s Basilica – 4 previous runs
- 2019 – Pinatubo – 5 previous runs
- 2018 – Too Darn Hot – 3 previous runs
- 2017 – U S Navy Flag – 9 previous runs
- 2016 – Churchill – 5 previous runs
- 2015 – Air Force Blue – 4 previous runs
- 2014 – Belardo – 4 previous runs
- 2013 – War Command – 4 previous runs
2023 Dewhurst Stakes Betting Odds
See below the latest 2023 Dewhurst Stakes betting odds from BetUK.
- City Of Troy 1/2
- Iberian 7/2
- Alyanaabi 9/1
- Array 18/1
- Indian Run 20/1
- Eben Shaddad 25/1
- Henry Adams 33/1
- Haatem 50/1
Odds are subject to change
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Recent Dewhurst Stakes Winners
- 2022 – Chaldean (5/2 j fav)
- 2021 – Native Trail (5/6 fav)
- 2020 – St Mark’s Basilica (10/1)
- 2019 – Pinatubo (1/3 fav)
- 2018 – Too Darn Hot (Evs fav)
- 2017 – U S Navy Flag (5/1)
- 2016 – Churchill (8/11 fav)
- 2015 – Air Force Blue (4/6 fav)
Watch Chaldean Winning The 2022 Renewal
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