Use our Cheltenham trends ahead of the opening day of the 2023 December Meeting on Friday. We’ve five LIVE ITV races to look forward to at Prestbury Park and to help find the winners you can put history on your side with Andy Newton’s past race stats.
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Cheltenham Trends For Friday 15th December: Christmas Festival Day One
Horse racing returns to the home of National Hunt racing – Cheltenham – for the final time in 2023 with the two-day December Meeting this Friday and Saturday.
With their next meeting after this the popular New Year’s Day fixture in 2024.
So, a lot to get the pulses ‘racing’ and the tapes go up on Friday with a seven-race card that include five LIVE races on ITV4.
You can see the full December Meeting schedule and race times here, and also use our key Cheltenham trends to put history on your side.
Five LIVE ITV4 Cheltenham Races On Friday – Starting at 1:15pm
Friday’s LIVE ITV4 action gets going at 1:15pm with the Catesby Estates Handicap Hurdle – a race that we could see the 2019 Triumph Hurdle winner Pentland Hills in action in for trainer Nicky Henderson.
If the stats are to be trusted we are looking for horses that recorded a ‘top 4’ finish last time and are aged 6 or younger.
Next up is a Mares’ Handicap Chase at 1:50pm and despite only seven past runnings there are already some nice Cheltenham trends building up. These include 86% of these winners aged between 6-8, while ALL of the seven winners raced within the last six weeks.
A Veterans’ Chase at 2:25pm – one that many would like to see slotted into the Cheltenham Festival. Just the one past runnings, but last year’s winner Magic Dancer could be back for more for the Kerry Lee yard that have a decent 27% strike-rate with their chasers at Prestbury Park. The Lee stable could also have course winner Storm Control.
It’s the ‘marmite’ Glenfarclas Cross Country Race (3:00pm) next that is expected to see the 2021 winner Diesel D’Allier returning to defend his crown. While the Festival’s X-Country runner-up Galvin could also be back over the unique Cheltenham fences. If so, he’s likely to be be popular with the best UK horse racing betting sites.
With 83% of the last 18 winners of this race having raced over the Cross Country course before – this is a good place to start.
We end the opening day of the Cheltenham December Meeting 2023 with the Citipost Handicap Hurdle at 3:35pm. We could have yet another past winner in Captain Morgs, who won the prize in 2022. While with a 75% return in the last 20 runnings, the Cheltenham trends here suggest homing in on horses aged 7 or younger.
1.15 – Catesby Estates Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (3yo+ 0-140) 2m1f ITV4
- 10/10 – Finished in the 4 last time
- 9/10 – Aged 6 or younger
- 9/10 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
- 9/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
- 8/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
- 7/10 – Won between 2-4 times (hurdles)
- 7/10 – Rated between 121 – 129
- 7/10 – French or Irish bred
- 6/10 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
- 5/10 – Won last race
- 4/10 – Racedat the track
- 4/10 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
- 1/10 – Favourites
1:50: Cheltenham Racecourse Food Bank Collection Mares’ Handicap Chase (Challenger Series Qualifier) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m4½f ITV4
- Seven previous runs
- 7/7 – Between 0-1 chase wins before
- 7/7 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
- 6/7 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
- 6/7 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
- 5/7 – Returned 13/2 or bigger in the betting
- 5/7 – Irish bred
- 4/7 – Aged 6 years-old
- 4/7 – Never raced at Cheltenham
- 4/7 – Favourites unplaced
- 4/7 – Winners carried 11-3 or more
- 2/7 – Favourites
2:25: Unibet Middle Distance Chase Series Veterans’ Handicap Chase Cl2 (9yo+ 0-150) 2m4½f ITV4
- Just 1 previous running
- Magic Dancer (7/2) won the race in 2022
- Trainer Kerry Lee has a 27% record with her chasers at the track
- Trainer David Pipe is just 2-from-32 with his chasers at the track
- Jockey Jonathan Burke is just 1-from-32 riding over fences at the track
3:00: Glenfarclas Crystal Cup Cross Country Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 3m5½f ITV4
- 17/18 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
- 16/18 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (4 won)
- 15/18 – Raced over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
- 14/18 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
- 14/18– Placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
- 11/18 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
- 10/18 – Placed favourites
- 10/18 – Aged 9 or older
- 8/18 – Had won over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
- 8/18 – French bred
- 8/18 – Aged in double-figures
- 6/18 – Won last race
- 5/18 – Carried 11-12 in weight
- Diesel D’Allier (6/1) won this race in 2021
3:35: Citipost Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m ITV4
- 17/20 – Raced at Cheltenham before
- 16/20 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
- 16/20 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
- 15/20 – Aged 7 or younger
- 15/20 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
- 15/20 – Irish bred
- 12/20 – Favourites unplaced
- 12/20 – Rated between 127 and 137
- 10/20 – Priced 15/2 or bigger in the betting
- 10/20 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (one winner)
- 9/20 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
- 9/20 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
- 6/20 – Won last race
- 3/20 – Favourites
- Captain Morgs (7/2) won the race in 2022
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