Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew heads to the meetings at Salisbury, Worcester, Kempton and Naas for his four stats-based selections on Wednesday, June 26th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below..
SALISBURY 4.15
WHATHAPPENSINVEGAS – (system – New Bay, top three last time out)
Progeny of New Bay tend to hold their form well and simply backing any runners who finished in the top three last time would have found 148 winners from 559 bets (26.5% strike-rate) for a profit of £138.69 to a £1 level stake at SP. WHATHAPPENSINVEGAS impressed on the clock when scoring over 1m3f at Hamilton earlier this month to take his record for Ian William, since his stable debut, to 121 (2-3) and can follow up.
WORCESTER 4.28
RED HUGH (system – Jake Thomas Coulson, stable switchers)
Jake Thomas Coulson is showing a huge profit of £205.50 at the first time of asking with horses he takes over from other yards thanks to six winners from 48 bets. That’s a modest strike-rate (12.5%) but he’s also had placed runners at up to 150-1 and RED HUGH, ex-Emmet Mullins, looks worth chancing on his debut for new connections.
KEMPTON 5.00
VIRIDIAN (system – William Haggas, first-time visor)
My database goes back to 1997 and in that time William Haggas has a 14 from 70 record (20%) with his first-time visored runners for a profit of £36.50 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 8.19, A/E = 1.91). VIRIDIAN, who finished a close second at Brighton in blinkers last time, is taken to go one better in the new headgear on his Polytrack debut.
NAAS 5.30
ISLAND GIRL (system – Starspangledbanner, 2yo debut, turf)
Progeny of the sire Starspangledbanner have a 23 from 22o record (£15%) when making their juvenile debut on turf and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £34.36 to a £1 level stake at SP. Fozzy Stack’s ISLAND GIRL, a 90,000gns purchase, looks a likely type on paper and could be up to making a winning debut. Her trainer is five from 28 with on this angle and the latest qualifier was placed at 20-1.
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