Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
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Andrew bids to start the new week on a high with two recommended bets/trades at Redcar and Carlisle on Monday, May 20th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
REDCAR DOUBLE DRAW
As a general rule it pays to be drawn low at Redcar, especially on the straight course when the ground rides good or faster. Since the start of 2016, backing all runners drawn in stalls 1 and 2, regardless of trip, would have found 263 winners from 2000 bets (13.2% strike-rate) and while we’d have made a loss by backing them blind at SP, taking an early price would have realised a profit of £348.93 (+17.5% on turnover). In the same period, those drawn in stall 8 or higher were 229 from 3588 (6.4%) for a loss of £1312.49 to a £1 level stake at SP (-36.6% on turnover). Even taking the best evening price the night before racing with a bestodds guaranteed concession couldn’t have turned that loss into a profit and, with the ground on the quick side, a sell of DOUBLE DRAW looks warranted at today’s meeting.
Recommendation: Sell DOUBLE DRAW at Redcar
CARLISLE 8.00
The Dianne Sayer-trained REDARNA understandably heads the betting for this 1m handicap based on his last-time-out fourth in the Thirsk Hunt Cup but stablemate DETECTIVE looks more interesting, despite the nagging concern that he might still need one more run before reaching peak fitness. The eight-year-old won this race two years ago, also finished second in it 12 months ago and had a full Carlisle record of 12112222120221523542 (5-20). He’s clearly not the force of old but should be finishing to good effect and might be able to give his shorter-priced stablemate a fright. Buy in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market or take a fixed odds price.
Recommendation: Back DETECTIVE in Carlisle 8.00
RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day – See our free NAP bet today, plus Andy Newton’s ‘Lay of the Day’ tip.
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All of the most popular horse racing spread betting markets like Winning Favourites, the 50-30-20-10 Race Index, Winning Distances, Favourites and Squared Numbers are included. When it comes sports spread betting sites in the UK today, Spreadex are number one. Check out SportsLens every day for more horse racing spread betting tips from Andrew Mount, complete with detailed analysis.
Related
- There is more from Andrew Mount every day on SportsLens with fixed odds betting tips
- Check out the latest horse racing results from across the UK.
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