Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew heads to Lingfield, Fakenham and Chelmsford for his three stats-based picks on Tuesday, November 21st. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
LINGFIELD 12.35
HEVA ROSE (system – Venetia Williams, handicap chasers in November)
HEVA ROSE blanked in six starts over hurdles after leaving France but the Venetia Williams-trained six-year-old will appreciate the return to the larger obstacles on her reappearance today. This century, her trainer is 122 from 615 (19.8% strike-rate) with handicap chasers in November for a profit of £205.21 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those who were having their first run after a wind operation, as Heva Rose is, were seven from 14 for a profit of £45.20.
FAKENHAM 1.20
FOR GINA (system – Lucy Wadham, Fakenham)
In-form Lucy Wadham is 64 from 250 (25.6%) with her runners at Fakenham since the turn of the century and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £53.50 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 49.38, A/E = 1.30). The consistent FOR GINA finished a close-up second at Huntingdon last time and can go one better.
CHELSMFORD 6.00
NATACATA (system – Jane Chapple-Hyam, stable switchers)
Jane Chapple-Hyam does well at the first time of asking with horses she takes over from other trainers, especially in handicaps. Since the beginning of 2010, she’s scored with 20 of the 116 qualifiers (17.2%) for a profit of £97.00 to a £1 level stake at SP. Five of those winners (from just 14 runners) came at Chelmsford and NATACATA, ex-Sir Mark Prescott, could be worth chancing on her stable debut.
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