It’s winner takes all in Group C this evening as Ukraine face off against Italy in Leverkusen for a spot at next summer’s European Championship in Germany. Ahead of the action, we’ve prepared some Ukraine vs Italy betting tips – so read on for the full list!
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Mon, 20 Nov 2023 , 19:45 GMT • BayArena • European Championship Qualifying
Ukraine vs Italy Preview & Prediction
It’s a huge night in Group C as Ukraine take on Italy to close out their respective European Championship qualifying campaigns, with both sides knowing that a victory will ensure their spot at next summer’s tournament in Germany.
Italy can also book their place at Euro 2024 with a draw, as they currently sit second in the group – level on points with Ukraine, but boast a more favourable head-to-head record after narrowly edging the reverse fixture.
That clash in Milan ended in a 2-1 triumph for the hosts back in September, as Inter midfielder Davide Frattesi grabbed a first half double to secure all three points at the home of his club side.
Since then, the Italians have lost to England, and have beaten Malta and most recently North Macedonia, condemning the latter to a 5-2 drubbing on Friday evening thanks to goals from Matteo Darmian, Federico Chiesa, Giacomo Raspadori and Stephan El Sharaawy.
While Luciano Spalletti’s side were busy in their penultimate group game, Ukraine had already played out their first of two November fixtures on Thursday night – overcoming Polish Ekstraklasa side Lechia Gdansk 2-0.
With so much on the line in Leverkusen, this is a tough one to call. The last time the pair played out matches of a similar magnitude came in the World Cup play-offs, where Ukraine lost to Wales in the final, and Italy lost to North Macedonia in the semi-final, but like the reverse fixture just two months back – we at SportsLens are backing a narrow triumph for Gli Azzurri.
Prediction: Ukraine 1-2 Italy
Ukraine vs Italy Betting Tips
- Italy To Win @ 4/5
- Both Teams To Score @ 4/5
- Combined Bet Builder Odds @ 11/4
Ukraine vs Italy Betting Tip 1: Italy To Win @ 4/5
Our first tip for your Monday night Ukraine vs Italy European Championship qualifying bet builders is to back Gli Azzurri to triumph away from home, priced at 4/5 by the majority of leading UK bookmakers.
As previously alluded to, the Italians narrowly triumphed in the reverse fixture at the San Siro, but not only that – they have never suffered defeat to Ukraine across their entire history, winning seven times and drawing twice from their nine meetings dating back to 1995.
After missing out on the World Cup in 2022, the Italians will be desperate to return to a major competition, and we at SportsLens are backing them to do exactly that by beating Ukraine on Monday night.
Ukraine vs Italy Betting Tip 2: Both Teams To Score @ 4/5
Italy have failed to keep a clean sheet in nine of their last 11 matches across all competitions, with their only two shutouts coming in European Championship qualifying against bottom seeds Malta.
Of those 11 matches though, they have scored in 10 of them – including against Ukraine in September, while Monday night’s counterparts have scored in all but one of their Group C matches, and like Italy – have kept a clean sheet on two occasions.
Based on these statistics, we’re backing both teams to score during the crucial Euro 2024 qualifying decider at the BayArena – a feat that has been achieved in the majority of Ukraine and Italy’s games over the last few years, priced at 4/5.
Ukraine vs Italy Odds
- Match Odds: Ukraine: 15/4 | Draw: 13/5 | Italy: 4/5
- Total Goals: Over 2.5: 19/20 | Under 2.5: 17/20
- Both Teams To Score: Yes: 4/5 | No: 10/11
Ukraine vs Italy Team News
Ukraine XI: Trubin; Konoplia, Svatok, Zabarnyi, Mykolenko; Stepanenko; Tsygankov, Sudakov, Zinchenko, Mudryk; Dovbyk
Italy XI: Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Acerbi, Buongiorno, Dimarco; Frattesi, Jorginho, Barella; Zaniolo, Chiesa, Raspadori
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