It’s the Future Champions Festival at the home of UK flat racing this week with the two-day meeting getting going today (Fri 13th Oct). You can see our Newmarket racing tips and trends from all five of the LIVE ITV races, including the Group One bet365 Fillies’ Mile (4:10pm).
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Newmarket Racing Tips & Trends For ITV Racing On Friday 13th Oct 2023
Five top races on ITV4 today (Fri 13th Oct) as Newmarket stages the opening day of their 2-day Future Champions Festival – a chance to see some potential stars of the future.
The Friday action will also figure Frankie Dettori, who yesterday announced his retirement U-turn – with the Italian having three booked rides at HQ – Sweetest (1:50), Amiente Amigo (4:10) and Boogie Woogie (5:55).
We get going with the Group Three Cornwallis Stakes (1:50pm) and with 15 of the last 20 winners having won at least twice and within the last 30 days, these are two big stats against the fancied Inquisitively. It’s also interesting that 4 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 3 or lower – the already mentioned Inquisitively, Zoulu Chief and Toca Madera tick this box.
The Group 3 Oh So Sharp Stakes (2:25pm) is next and it’s a race jockeys William Buick (2) and James Doyle (3) have won 5 times between them in the last 9 years – they ride Dance Sequence and Star Music. Ryan Moore also has a far record in the race with wins in 2006 and 2010, plus trainer Ralph Beckett has successes in 2004 and 2012 – the pair team up with Kingman filly Skellet, who impressed in winning at Salisbury last month on only her second start.
Fillies Don’t Have A Great Record In The Challenge Stakes
With only one filly winner of the Group 2 Challenge Stakes (3:00pm) in the last 20 runnings, then Matilda Picotte will have this stat to overcome. 17 of the last 20 winners were also aged 5 or younger, so the 7 year-old Pogo is overlooked too. CD winners Audience and Shouldvebeenaring will be popular, but Ryan Moore catches the eye booked for the Hannon entry Chindit and is chanced.
Just 9 past runnings of the Old Rowley Cup Handicap (3:35), but already 7 of those winners carried 9st or less, while 67% came from a double-figure draw and had raced in the last 5 weeks. With that in mind, both Alsakib and Denmark seem to have a lot going for them.
Aidan O’Brien’s Ylang Ylang Can Improve For The Step Up In Trip
The final ITV4 race at Newmarket on Friday is the bet365 Fillies Mile (4:10pm) – a race that’s been won by the likes of Inspiral, Laurens and Minding since 2015.
It’s a pot that trainer Aidan O’Brien has a good record in too – winning 3 of the last 9. He’s got two of the 8 runners in Brilliant and Ylang Ylang, with the last-named their main hope.
This 2 year-old filly was third in the Rockfel Stakes here last time and behind Shuwari (2nd) so has a bit to find. However, this step up from 7f to 1m looks ideal having run on well the last day and so this well-bred Frankel filly is taken to give O’Brien another success in this Newmarket Group One.
You can also get up to £30 in bet credits with the Fillies’ Mile sponsors bet365
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1.50 – Newmarket Academy Godolphin Beacon Project Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV4
- 18/20 – Won over 5f previously
- 15/20 – Won at least twice or more
- 15/20 – Raced within the last 30 days
- 15/20 – Raced 5 or more times
- 15/20 – Returned 8/1 SP or shorter
- 15/20 – Rated 98 or higher
- 14/20 – Winning distance – 1 ½ or less
- 14/20 – Foaled in March or later
- 11/20 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
- 11/20 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
- 9/20 – Filly winners
- 7/20 – Ran at Ayr last time out
- 7/20 – Won last time out
- 6/20 – Favourites
- 4/20 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
- 2 of the last 6 winners from stall 3
- 4 of the last 6 winners from stalls 3 or lower
2.25 – Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4
- 18/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
- 17/19 – Had between 1-2 wins
- 17/19 – Had between 1-3 career runs
- 17/19 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
- 15/19 – Returned 12/1 SP or shorter in the betting
- 14/19 – Won their last race
- 15/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
- 12/19 – Foaled in March or later
- 12/19 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
- 11/19 – Favourites unplaced
- 11/19 – Won over 7f or further before
- 9/19 – Returned 11/2 SP or shorter in the betting
- 9/19 – Irish bred winners
- 6/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
- 5/19 – Favourites
- 2/19 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
- 2/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon
- 2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
- 2/19 – Ridden by James Doyle (2 of last 9)
- 2/19 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of last 8)
3.00 – Thoroughbred Industry Employee Awards Challenge Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV4
- 20/20 – Raced 3 or more times that season
- 20/20 – Won a Listed or Group race previously
- 20/20 – Won over 7f previously
- 17/20 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
- 17/20 – Won 3 or more times previously
- 16/20 – Ran at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
- 16/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
- 14/20 – Officially rated 113 or higher
- 14/20 – Priced 7/1 SP or lower
- 12/20 – Placed in their most recent race
- 11/20 – Placed favourites
- 9/20 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
- 7/20 – Ran at Ascot (3) or Goodwood (4) last time out
- 6/20 – Won last time out
- 6/20 – Favourites
- 1/20 – Filly/Mare winners
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3.35 – Bet365 Old Rowley Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 1m4f ITV4
- 9 previous runnings
- 7/9 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
- 7/9 – Won at least twice before
- 6/9 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
- 6/9 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
- 5/9 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
- 3/9 – Raced at Haydock last time out
- 2/9 – Priced 8/1 SP in the betting
- 2/9 – Winners from stall 17
- 2/9 – Favourites
4.10 – Bet365 Fillies´ Mile (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV4
- 19/19 – Placed in the first three last time out
- 19/19 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
- 18/19 – Still to win a Group 1
- 17/19 – Foaled in Feb or later
- 17/19 – Won over 7f or 1m before
- 17/19 – Placed in the first two last time out
- 15/19 – Won between 2-3 times before
- 15/19 – Favourites that finished in the top three
- 14/19 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
- 13/19 – Won their last race
- 13/19 – Won a Group race before
- 11/19 – Foaled in Feb or March
- 10/19 – Favourites (or joint)
- 8/19 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
- 7/19 – Irish-trained winners
- 7/19 – Irish bred winners
- 4/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 9)
- 3/19 – US bred
- 3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
- 2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
- 5 of the last 9 winners have been Irish-trained
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