Use our 2023 Cambridgeshire Handicap trends to help narrow to the 35 runners ahead of the big Newmarket Handicap this Saturday. Use our Newmarket horse racing stats to find the best profile of past winners and whittle down the entries.
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Cambridgeshire Handicap Trends: Stats To Find The Newmarket Winner
There will be a massive 35 runners heading to post for the 2023 Cambridgeshire Handicap so the key Newmarket trends will be a big help here to narrow down the entries to a more manageable size.
12 months ago, we saw the Channon-trained Majestic win the prize and he’s back for more on just a 3lb higher mark – he’s be trying to join the likes of Rambo’s Hall and Bronze Angel as recent two-time winners of this big handicap.
John Gosden is the top trainer in the history of the race too, with 5 successes – with this most-recent coming in 2019 with Lord North. His sole runner this year is the royal runner Saga, who will be ridden by Ryan Moore.
This year though, it’s the Roger Charlton runner Greek Order that has dominated the betting pre-race with the best UK horse racing betting sites. This lightly-raced Kingman colt has impressed in his last two runs with big wins at Sandown and Newbury – but does he fit the key Cambridgeshire Handicap trends?
With that in mind, let’s see that the key Cambridgeshire Handicap trends are, that you can also use to find the best profiles based on past winners of the race.
When Is The 2023 Cambridgeshire Handicap?
đź•™Time: 3:40pm
đź“…Date: Saturday 30th Sept 2023
🏇Racecourse: Newmarket
đź’°: Winner: ÂŁ103,080
đź“ş TV: Racing TV /Â ITV3
🎲 Odds: Greek Order 4/1 | Astro King 10/1 | Dual Identity 11/1 | Saga 12/1
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Cambridgeshire Handicap Trends – The Last 21 Runnings
- 21/21 – Aged 6 or younger
- 18/21 – Carried 9-5 or less
- 17/21 – Won 3 or more times in their career
- 17/21 – Won from a double-figure stall
- 16/21 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
- 15/21 – Unplaced favourites
- 15/21 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
- 14/21 – Had 5 or more runs that season
- 14/21 – Had won over 1m2f before
- 13/21 – Finished 5th or better last time out
- 13/21 – Rated between 90-100
- 12/21 – Carried 8-12 or less
- 6/21 – Ran at Newbury last time out
- 5/21 – Returned 14/1 in the betting
- 4/21 – Winning favourites
- 4/21 – Trained by John Gosden (5 wins in total)
- 3/21 – Won their last race
- 2/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 in total)
- The last 8 winners came from stalls 21 or higher
- 15 of the last 17 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
- The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 22/1
Ignore Horses Aged 7 Or Older
The big Cambridgeshire Handicap trend is the age. As ALL of the last 21 winners have been aged 6 or younger.
You have to go back to two-time winner – Rambo’s Hall – in 1992 to find the last winner aged 7.
In recent years, we’ve 4 winners aged 3 since 2012, while 16 of the last 21 winners were aged between 4 and 6.
Make 9st 5lbs Your Weight Cut-Off Point
Being a handicap, then weight carried is also a key trend to note.
With 86% of the last 21 winners having 9st 5lbs or less, then this looks to be the cut-off point – which would rule out the top 7 on the card – Astro King, Saga, Tyrrhenian Sea, Major Partnership, Haunted Dream, Bopedro and Epic Poet.
The Last 8 Winners Came From Stalls 21 Or Higher
With 35 possible runners, then the draw is next up – having a good starting point and avoiding some of the traffic will help.
Yes, with 35 runners, then there are only 9 horses drawn in single-figures, so it’s no shock that 17 of the last 21 winners came from a double-figure berth.
However, we can drill into this draw stat a bit more by knowing ALL of the last 8 winners came from stalls 21 or lower.
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Respect Anything Trainer John Gosden Runs
No trainer has won the Cambridgeshire Handicap more times than John Gosden.
The Newmarket handler has fired in 5 wins over the years in the race, with his most recent coming in 2019 with Lord North.
This year, he’s got just the one entry – the royal runner Saga, who will be ridden by Ryan Moore, who is yet to win this big handicap.
71% Of The Last 21 Favourites Unplaced
This year’s Cambridgeshire Handicap favourite is likely to be the Roger Charlton-trained Greek Order – so have the market leaders fared?
In short, they seem to either win or bomb out.
We’ve seen 4 of the last 19 favourites win (19%), which in a race with 30+ runners isn’t actually a bad return.
However, in contrast – we’ve also seen 15 of the last 21 jollies unplaced.
Look For 5+ Runs Already That Season
With 88% of the last 17 winners having had at least 5 runs that season, this is another big Newmarket stat to have on your side.
This would be a negative for Greek Order, who has only had 3 runs this term.
The Last Back-to-Back Cambridgeshire Handicap Winner Was In 1969/1970
Finally, we could see last year’s winner Majestic in the race again. This Channon runner took the race as a 25/1 shot 12 months ago and is back on just a 3lb higher mark.
We’ve seen Rambo’s Hall and Bronze Hall win the race twice in recent times, but not in back-to-back years.
The last repeat winner in consecutive seasons was Prince de Galles in 1969 and 1970.
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2023 Cambridgeshire Handicap Betting Odds
See below the latest 2023 Cambridgeshire Handicap betting odds from QuinnBet.
- Greek Order 4/1
- Astro King 10/1
- Dual Identity 11/1
- Saga 12/1
- Oviedo 12/1
- Liberty Lane 12/1
- Merlin The Wizard 14/1
- Crack Shot 14/1
- Bopedro 16/1
- Terwada 16/1
- 20/1 BAR
Odds are subject to change
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Cambridgeshire Handicap Winners (Last 10 Years)
- 2022 – Majestic (25/1)
- 2021 – Bedouin’s Story (40/1)
- 2020 – Majestic Dawn (40/1)
- 2019 – Lord North (9/2 fav)
- 2018 – Wissahickon (11/1)
- 2017 – Dolphin Vista (50/1)
- 2016 – Spark Plug (12/1)
- 2015 – Third Time Lucky (14/1)
- 2014 – Bronze Angel (14/1)
- 2013 – Educate (8/1 fav)
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