2023 Galway Plate Trends: 85% Of The Last 20 Winners Carried 10-13 Or Less In Weight

Galway Plate
Galway Plate

There are many Galway Plate trends to apply to Wednesday’s big race in Ireland. Including a massive 85% of the last 20 winners carrying 10st 13lbs or less, while horses aged 9 or younger have the best record. You can use these Galway Plate stats to find the best profiles based on past winners and put history on your side.

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2023 Galway Plate Trends to Help You Find The Winner

12 months ago we saw the John Joseph Hanlon-trained Hewick win the Galway Plate and since then his bargain-buy horse has won the US Grand National and also the Oaksey Chase at Sandown.

He’s back for more this Wednesday to try and defend his title as he looks to become the first back-to-back winner since Ansar in 2004 and 2005. However, if he’s to defend his title he’ll need to do so off a 12lb higher rating and the best horse racing betting sites make him a 10/1 chance to follow-up.

So, to help find the winner – let’s look at the key 2023 Galway Plate trends to look out for and hopefully by applying these to the final runners it will help point you in the direction of Wednesday’s big winner.

What Date & Time Is The 2023 Galway Plate?

đź“…Time/Date: 6:40pm (Wednesday, 2nd August 2023)
🏇Racecourse/Trip: Galway (2m 6 1/2f)
💰 Winner: €159,300
📺 TV: RTE  / SkySports Racing
🎲 Galway Plate Odds: Kilcruit 5/1| Hollow Games 17/2| The Goffer 9/1 | Ash Tree Meadow 9/1


RELATED: 2023 Galway Festival Free Bets For Horse Racing: Claim ÂŁ335 In Betting Offers


2023 Galway Plate Trends

See below the last 20 runnings of the Galway Plate and the key trends to look out for.

  • 19/20 – Trained by an Irish-based yard
  • 19/20 – Aged 9 or younger
  • 17/20 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
  • 17/20 – Had won between 1-4 times (chase) before
  • 17/20 – Had won over at least 2m4f (chase) before
  • 15/20 – Won by an Irish bred horse
  • 13/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
  • 12/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
  • 11/20 – Carried 10-10 or less in weight
  • 10/20 – Had won just twice over fences before
  • 10/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
  • 10/20 – Aged 7 years-old
  • 8/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
  • 7/20 – Unplaced favourites
  • 5/20 – Won last time out
  • 4/20 – Winning favourites
  • 3/20 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (3 of last 7)
  • 2/20 – Trained by Willie Mullins (2 of the last 12)
  • 2/20 – Trained by Henry de Bromhead (2 of last 8)
  • The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 12/1

RELATED: Glorious Goodwood Horse Racing Trends For ITV Races On Wednesday, 2nd Aug 2023


Horses Aged 9 Or Younger Have Dominated

The first Galway Plate trend to have in your corner is age, as a massive 95% of the last 20 winners were aged 9 or younger.

While since 1988, there have only been two winners aged 10 or older.

The good news is ALL of the 2023 Galway Plate runners are aged 9 or younger.

We can take this stat a bit further though with 50% of the last 20 winners aged 7, so this seems to be a popular age. Ash Tree Meadow, Final Orders, Hollow Games, A Wave Of The Sea and Upping The Anti are the 7 year-olds in the race this year.

85% Of The Last 20 Galway Plate Winners Carried 10-13 Or Less

Weight is next with 17 of the last 20 winners carrying 10-13 or less, while 55% of those (11) also carried just 10-10.

If the 10-13 benchmark is to be repeated then the top five on the card must overcome this – Hewick, Kilcruit, Easy Game, Lifetime Ambition and Fury Road.

A Top 4 Finish Last Time Out Is A Plus

Having a top four finish next to a horse’s name has helped in recent years too, with 13 of the last 20 winners ticking this box.

Of the 22 runners, Hurricane George, Fighter Allen, Hollow Games, A Wave Of The Sea, Ash Tree Meadow, The Goffer, Foxy Jacks, Easy Game and Hewick fit the bill.

It could also pay to note that 25% of the last20 winners won their most recent race – only Easy Game and Foxy Jacks get a thumbs up here.


RELATED: Rachael Blackmore Will Ride Gabbys Cross In Wednesday’s Galway Plate


How Have The Galway Plate Favourites Fared?

Over the last 20 years we’ve seen 7 of the last 20 Galway Plate favourites unplaced with only 4 of the last 20 winning.

This year it’s a tight betting market with several disputing the top spot. At this stage it’s Kilcruit that is just the Galway Plate favourite.

Note Horses With 1-4 Chase Wins

With 85% of the last 20 Galway Plate winners having between 1-4 wins to their name it’s worth spending a bit of time looking back at past form.

To save you the bother, here are the runners that DON’T fall into this bracket – Final Orders, Hewick and Easy Game.

Gordon Elliott and Henry De Bromhead Have Won 5 Of The Last 8 Galway Plates

Finally, the trainers with the best Galway Plate record in recent years are Gordon Elliott and Henry De Bromhead with 5 of the last 8 winners between them.

This year Elliott saddles an army – Ash Tree Meadow, Fury Road, Hollow Games, The Goffer, Andy Dufresne and Hurricane Georgie. While De Bromhead has Upping The Anti and Gabbys Cross, who is the mount of Rachael Blackmore.

Galway Plate Trends Picks

The Goffer: From the Gordon Elliott yard, this 7 year-old was 4th to the subsequent Grand National winner Corach Rambler in the Ultima Handicap Chase at the Cheltenham Festival in March – beaten only 11 lengths. He stays further than this 2m 6 1/2f trip and also gets in here with just 10-5 to carry.

Hollow Games: Another from the powerful Elliott yard that love to win this race. Also, another 7 year-old, so he’s got this age stat on his side and with only 10-1 to carry gets in with a featherweight. A useful hurdler in the last past but has only had 4 career runs over fences (1 win) to suggest there is a lot more improvement to come too.

Recent Galway Plate Winners

  • 2022 – Hewick (16/1)
  • 2021 – Royal Rendezvous (5/1 fav)
  • 2020 – Early Doors (7/1)
  • 2019 – Borice (9/1)
  • 2018 – Clarcam (33/1)
  • 2017 – Balko Des Flos (6/1)
  • 2016 – Lord Scoundrel (10/1)
  • 2015 – Shanahan’s Turn (16/1)
  • 2014 – Road To Riches (14/1)
  • 2013 – Carlingford Lough (7/2 fav)

2023 Galway Plate Betting Odds

We take a look at the latest 2023 Galway Plate betting odds from Paddy Power

  • Kilcruit @ 5/1
  • Hollow Games @ 17/2
  • The Goffer @ 9/1
  • Ash Tree Meadow @ 9/1
  • Fury Road @ 10/1
  • Final Orders 10/1
  • Hewick @ 11/1
  • Authorized Act @ 12/1
  • Easy Game @ 14/1
  • Lifetime Ambition @ 14/1
  • Gabbys Cross @ 14/1

Note: Odds are subject to change and others on request

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WATCH: Hewick Winning The 2022 Galway Plate

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