Newmarket Horse Racing Trends: Stats To Help Find Sunday’s ITV Racing Winners

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Use our Newmarket horse racing trends to help narrow down the search for the winners on a cracking 1000 Guineas card at the Classic track. These Newmarket stats will give you a chance to whittle the runners to find the best profiles based on past winners of the races.

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Newmarket Horse Racing Trends: Live ITV Racing Stats for Sunday 7th May 2023

See below the key horse racing trends for the five LIVE ITV races at Newmarket on Sunday, that include the first English Classic of the new season the Qipco 1000 Guineas.


RELATED: 1000 Guineas Trends: Key Stats To Find Sunday’s Newmarket Winner


Newmarket Horse Racing Trends: Howden Handicap Stats

Just the one previous running of this race so not a lot to go on based on the trends. However, we are seeing last year’s winner Cemhaan back for more. The George Baker runner is the only CD winner in the field and despite a 183-day break has gone well fresh in the past. Shaun Lycett (Torcello) and William Jarvis (Duke Of Verona) are other trainers to note that have good records at the track with their 4+ year-olds.

1:50 – Howden Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

  • 1 previous runnings
  • Cemhaan (100/30 fav) won the race in 2022
  • Trainer Shaun Lycett has a 50% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track (2-from-4)
  • Trainer William Jarvis has a 31% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track

RELATED: Top Free Horse Racing Tips & Advice for UK Betting Today


Newmarket Horse Racing Trends: Pretty Polly Stakes Stats

This has been a great race for the John Gosden yard – winning 5 of the last 9 renewals. They run Tarjamah and Running Lion here. We’ve also seen two horses in the last 10 years take this and go onto land the Epsom Oaks – Talent and Taghrooda – so the winning horse is worth following next time.

2:25 – Howden Pretty Polly Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

  • 11/12 – Finished in the top three last time out
  • 11/12 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
  • 11/12 – Winners drawn between stalls 2-8 (inc)
  • 9/12 – Won just once before
  • 8/12 – Had between 1-3 runs before
  • 7/12 – Won last time out
  • 5/12 – Trained by John Gosden (5 of last 9)
  • 4/12 – Winning favourites
  • 3/12 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (all for John Gosden)
  • 2/12 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks
  • 2/12 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
  • 0/12 – Winners from stall 1
  • The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends: Dahlia Stakes Stats

4 year-olds have a good record in this race – winning 12 of the last 18 runnings, plus look for horses that ran Kempton (4) or Newmarket (5), while 15 of the last 18 winners returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting.

3:00 – Howden Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m1f ITV

  • 17/18 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
  • 17/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
  • 17/18 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
  • 15/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 14/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
  • 12/18 – Aged 4 years-old
  • 11/18 – Won this on first run of the season
  • 10/18 – Had run at the course before
  • 9/18 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (5) last time out
  • 7/18 – Won last time out
  • 7/18 – Winning favourites
  • 6/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
  • 6/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
  • 3/18 – Ridden by William Buick
  • 2/18 – French-trained winners (2 of the last 9)
  • 12 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
  • The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 100/30

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends: 1000 Guineas Stakes Stats

Onto the main race of the day and all eyes will be on the unbeaten Dermot Weld runner Tahiyra, who beaten the second favourite Meditate by 2 1/4 lengths in the Moyglare Stud Stakes at the Curragh last September.

She’s the top rated in the race and looks the one to beat. However, this has not been too great a race for the favourites with just 4 market leaders winning in the last 21 – with the average winning SP during that period 12.5/1.

Horses drawn in stalls 7 and 8 have the best record – winning 29% of the last 21 renewals – so Meditate (8) for Aidan O’Brien, who is hunting his 8th win in the race, and Matilda Picotte (7) will have this stat on their side.

3:40 – Qipco 1000 Guineas Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (3yo) 1m ITV

  • 19/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
  • 16/21 – Had won between 2-3 times before
  • 16/21 – Had won a Group race before
  • 15/21 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
  • 14/21 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
  • 13/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
  • 13/21 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
  • 12/21 – Won their previous race
  • 12/21 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
  • 11/21 – Returned a double-figure price
  • 10/21 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
  • 10/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
  • 9/21 – Favourites unplaced
  • 9/21 – Irish-trained winners
  • 8/21 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
  • 6/21 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
  • 6/21 – Previous Group One winners
  • 4/21 – Won by a US bred horse
  • 4/21 – Won by the favourite
  • 4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
  • 3/21 – French-trained winners
  • 3/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
  • Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
  • 11 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
  • The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 12.5/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

  • Owner Shadwell have won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
  • Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2021)
  • Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 4 times (2012, 2015, 2016, 2020)
  • Godolphin have won the race 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
  • Aidan O’Brien has trained 7 winners, Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020), Mother Earth (2021)
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