The 2023 Tolworth Hurdle trends can help you find the best profile of past winners of today’s big Sandown horse race. It’s a prize the powerful Nicky Henderson yard have won five times in the last 12 years, including 12 months ago with the exciting Constitution Hill, who is now the red-hot favourite for the 2023 Champion Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival.
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Tolworth Hurdle Trends & Sandown Betting Stats
The Tolworth Hurdle gives us a chance to see some of the potential stars of the future strutting their stuff. In recent years we’ve seen Noland, Yorkhill, Summerville Boy and Fiddlerontheroof win the race, while 12 months ago the classy Constitution Hill won the Sandown race and went onto follow-up in the 2022 Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season.
See our key 2023 Tolworth Hurdle trends to apply to the final runners ahead of the big Sandown race on Saturday 7th January (2:25pm).
Tolworth Hurdle Trends
- 17/18 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
- 17/18 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
- 17/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
- 16/18 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
- 16/18 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
- 15/18 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
- 15/18 – Came from the top three in the market
- 14/18 – Won last time out
- 13/18 – Placed favourites
- 12/18 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
- 11/18 – Won by an Irish bred horse
- 10/18 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
- 10/18 – Winning Favourites
- 6/18 – Ran at either Sandown (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
- 4/18 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
- 4/18 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
- 4/18 – Ran at Sandown before
- 2/18 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
- 3/18 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Constitution Hill, 2022, Summerville Boy, 2018 & Noland, 2006)
- 1/18 – Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
- 5 or 6 years-old have won 24 of the last 30 runnings
- Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger
- The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 3/1
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What Date & Time Is The 2023 Tolworth Hurdle
đź“…Time/Date: 2:25pm (Sat 7th January)
🏇Racecourse: Sandown Park
đź’° Purse/Winner: ÂŁ39,865
đź“ş TV: ITV / Racing TV
2023 Tolworth Hurdle Trends for Sandown Race
Use our key Tolworth Hurdle Trends to find the best winning profile of past winners. Apply these stats to the final Sandown runners to see which horses have the best chance of winning based on history.
94% Of the Last 18 Tolworth Hurdle Winners Ran In The Last 6 Weeks
Looking for a recent run is a good place to start when trying to find the Tolworth Hurdle winner as 17 of the last 18 ran in the last six weeks. Most will fit the bill here, including one of the fancied runners Authorised Speed (35 days), but depending if you want to give a bit of leeway on this stat, the Paul Nicholls runner – Tahmuras – would have this to overcome having last run 49 days ago at Haydock as well as Colonel Harry (62 days).
17 Of the Last 18 Tolworth Hurdle Winners Finished 1st or 2nd Last Time Out
Most of the Tolworth Hurdle runners finished 1st or 2nd in their last race, so this big trend will be a plus for many. But we can take it a bit further with 14 of the last 18 (78%) of recent Tolworth Hurdle winners having won their most recent race. Those that fall down here are Nemean Lion & Ukantango.
5 and 6 Year-olds Have Dominated
Horses aged 5 and 6 have dominated the Tolworth Hurdle in recent years but this trend isn’t going to help us in 2023 with ALL the entries aged either 5 or 6. The bulk of the runners are 6 year-olds, with just Blow Your Wad the only possible 5 year-old.
89% Of the Last 18 Tolworth Winners Returned 5/1 or Shorter
The Tolworth Hurdle has been a good race for those at the head of the betting, with 89% of the last 18 winners returning 5/1 or shorter. This will be good news for the main players – Authorised Speed, Arctic Bresil and Tahmuras, who are all figuring highly up the market.
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How Has the Tolworth Hurdle Favourites Fared?
We’ve seen 10 of the last 18 Tolworth Hurdle favourites win, including the last three. Constitution Hill returned odds on (2/5) 12 months ago and duly obliged to win by an easy 12 lengths, while before that Metier and Fiddlerontheroof rewarded favourite backers too. Since 2015 (8 runs) we’ve had six winning Tolworth Hurdle market leaders win. The likely Tolworth Hurdle favourites this year look to be Authorised Speed and Tahmuras.
A Good Guide Ahead Of The Cheltenham Festival
67% of the last 18 Tolworth Hurdle winners were also seen at the Cheltenham Festival later that season in some shape or form. It’s also been a race that’s not only produced Cheltenham Festival runners, but also winners. Of course, the winner last year – Constitution Hill – followed-up in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle in 2022, a race that other past Tolworth Hurdle winners – Summerville Boy and Noland also went onto land.
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The Henderson, Nicholls and Tizzard Yards Have Dominated in Recent Years
Since 2003, which has seen 18 runnings, the Nicky Henderson, Paul Nicholls and Tizzard yards have dominated the Tolworth Hurdle – winning 12 of those 18 renewals (67%).
Henderson took the honours last year with Constitution Hill and also in 2011, 2012, 2014 and 2015, while despite having four Tolworth Hurdle wins to his name, the last Paul Nicholls success in this Sandown race was in 2008 with Breedsbreeze.
However, of the trio, it’s only Nicholls that has a Tolworth Hurdle winner this year – he’s got Tahmuras entered, while Henderson’s intended runner Luccia is now a non-runner.
Tolworth Hurdle 2023 Betting & Key Runners
See below the latest betting odds ahead of the Tolworth Hurdle at Sandown on Saturday 7th January 2023.
| Tolworth Hurdle Horse | Latest Odds | Bookmaker |
| AUTHORISED SPEED | 6/4 |  |
| TAHMURAS | 5/2 | |
| ARCTIC BRESIL | 7/2 | |
| L’ASTROBOY | 12/1 | |
| NEMEAN LION | 12/1 | |
| COLONEL HARRY | 25/1 | |
| BLOW YOUR WAD | 25/1 | |
| UKANTANGO | 40/1 | |
All odds correct as of 7th Jan 2023 and subject to change with others on request
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Recent Tolworth Hurdle Winners
- 2022 – CONSTITUTION HILL (2/5 fav)
- 2021 –Â METIER (7/4 fav)
- 2020 – FIDDLERONTHEROOF (5/4 fav)
- 2019 – ELIXIR DU NUTZ (3/1)
- 2018 – SUMMERVILLE BOY (8/1)
- 2017 – FINIAN’S OSCAR (11/10 fav)
- 2016 – YORKHILL (4/9 fav)
- 2015 – L’AMI SERGE (4/9 fav)
- 2014 – ROYAL BOY (9/1)
- 2013 – MELODIC RENDEZVOUS (7/2)
WATCH: Constitution Hill Winning The 2022 Tolworth Hurdle at Sandown
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