One of the most popular World Cup betting markets ahead of every tournament always seems to be the race for the Golden Boot, with punters and keen bettors piling in on a collection of the world’s best finishers.
The 2022 World Cup seems to have a stacked line-up of potential frontrunners, more so than in previous years, and we have been busy putting together our comprehensive guide to Golden Boot betting ahead of the next month’s worth of glorious football action.
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2022 World Cup Golden Boot Outright Odds
| Player | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 10/1 |  |
| Kylian Mbappe |
10/1 | |
| Lionel Messi |
11/1 | |
| Neymar |
14/1 | |
| Karim Benzema | 18/1 | |
| Cristiano Ronaldo |
20/1 | |
| Lautaro Martinez |
20/1 | |
| Memphis Depay |
24/1 | |
| Gabriel Jesus / Vinicius Jr |
33/1 | |
2022 World Cup Golden Boot Betting Guide
Sportslens Top Goalscorer Tips
- Kylian Mbappe @ 10/1 with BetUK
- Lautaro Martinez @ 20/1 with BetUK
- Vinicius Jr @ 33/1 with BetUK
Top Frontrunner – Kylian Mbappe
Aside from last year’s Euro semi-finalists Denmark, it should be plain sailing for Les Bleus in Group D alongside Australia and Tunisia which bodes well for our first tip.
The 2018 champions enter the tournament brimming with fresh faces and boasting an incredibly young midfield without the likes of Paul Pogba and N-Golo Kante, who both miss out through injury.
Nevertheless, they remain among the strongest candidates to retain their World Cup crown, and any side with a player as mercurial as Kylian Mbappe will always have leading claims. He exploded onto the international scene at the tender age of 18 in Russia four years ago, ending the tournament with a more than respectable four goals, including a corker in the final.
With four Ligue 1 Golden Boots to his name since then, he has also broken into France’s top 10 all-time highest goalscorers at just 23 and is primed to win a first World Cup Golden Boot having scored 19 goals in 20 appearances this season for PSG.
Dark Horse – Lautaro Martinez
After claiming a memorable Copa America title last year to hand Lionel Messi a long-awaited first international trophy, Argentina look to be one of the strongest teams heading to Qatar.
Should they escape Group C without succumbing to defeat, they can surpass Italy’s international record of 37-games unbeaten – a staggering run of form which started way back in July 2019.
While the focus is firmly on Lionel Messi who is back to his imperious best for PSG this season, we have tipped La Albiceleste’s target man Lautaro Martinez as our dark horse in the race of the Golden Boot.
The Inter Milan striker is everything a modern forward should be; strong, quick, as lethal from 25 yards as he is from five, and willing to press the opposition deep into their own half.
He was Argentina’s joint-top scorer in qualification with seven alongside Messi, and has 21 international goals in 40 appearances which is a commendable record.
With Messi now operating as chief playmaker for his national side, there quite literally is no better player in the world to have servicing and this could translate to a fruitful tournament for Martinez.
Big Value Outsider – Vinicius Jr
Lastly, it would be foolish to not include a Brazilian player on our list, but we’ve gone down a slightly different avenue which we think presents unbelievable value, even as an each-way selection.
Brazil are heavily favoured in the outright betting and possess arguably the most balanced squad in the tournament with a typically flamboyant forward line, technicians in midfield and a vastly experienced defence.
They are tipped to go far in this competition, and when taking a look at recent line-ups and taking into account who may have a leading role to play, we think Real Madrid’s Vinicius Jr could well announce himself on the international stage at his very first World Cup.
🗣 Ancelotti: "Best forward I have ever coached? Too many… Cristiano Ronaldo, Ibrahimovic, Drogba, Benzema, Vinicius." @chetempochefa
— Madrid Xtra (@MadridXtra) November 15, 2022
An integral part of Madrid’s La Liga and Champions League winning side last season, the 22-year-old is more than fulfilling his potential as his career goes from strength-to-strength, and has added goals to his fleet-footed dribbling and mesmerising speed on the left wing.
22 goals and 20 assists last season, and 10 goals in 21 appearances this season, he could be on course for an era-defining performance for his nation in Qatar.
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