European football returns to the Midlands for the second time this season – see our Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar tips and predictions for their Conference League clash on matchday four.
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Thu, 9 Nov 2023 , 20:00 GMT • Villa Park • Europa Conference League
Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar Preview and Prediction
Aston Villa’s European journey has largely proved fruitful thus far, collecting six points from a possible nine with two of those three fixtures being played away from home.
They return to Villa Park on Thursday knowing that a victory would put them in a strong position going into gameweek five, where they face current joint-leaders Legia Warszawa in a potential crunch-match.
Their only defeat of the campaign so far came against Legia, who managed to edge a fascinating contest on Villa’s Conference League debut. Having experienced first hand the danger they represent, Thursday’s fixture will likely be viewed as a must-win by Unai Emery.
They welcome AZ Alkmaar who, despite enjoying a solid campaign in the Eredivisie where they currently sit in second place, have yet to really get going in Europe.
The Dutch side were utterly dominated by Villa last time out, who netted twice either side of half time to register a resounding 4-1 victory.
This is the optimal fixture for Emery’s side to find their winning touch once more, following a concerning defeat at Nottingham Forest last weekend. We fully expect them to cement their position near the top of Group E, and you can find our individual betting tips for Thursday night below.
Prediction: Aston Villa 3 – 1 AZ Alkmaar
Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar Tips
- Aston Villa to Score Over 2.5 Goals @ 29/20
- Moussa Diaby to Score @ 23/20
- Combined Odds @ 27/10
Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar Tip One: Villa Over 2.5 Goals
Considering Aston Villa’s flurry of goals in North Holland came away from home soil, they should be enthused by a raucous crowd back in the Midlands on Thursday.
When isolating results at home in the Premier League, Villa sit top of the table having won all five of their games while netting a league-leading 20 goals; an average of five per-game.
They should have no trouble covering our first tip given their performance on matchday three, and their iron-clad form at Villa Park spells danger for Alkmaar.
Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar Tip Two: Diaby to Score
Although a starting spot isn’t guaranteed given he has featured in just 38 minutes of Villa’s Conference League campaign, Moussa Diaby could earn a spot here.
Unai Emery can not afford any surprise slip-ups given the implications of the subsequent game against Legia, which means he could turn to his starters from the off.
Six goal involvements in the league so far highlights the danger Diaby poses, and against a youthful Alkmaar defence he can capitalise on their lack of experience.
Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar Odds
- Match Result: Aston Villa @ 1/14 | Draw @ 23/2 | Alkmaar @ 34/1
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ 8/13 | Under 2.5 @ 6/5
- Both Teams To Score: Yes @ 17/20 | No @ 22/25
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