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ITV Racing Tips and Trends | York and Ascot Tips On Sat 9th July

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More ITV Racing tips and trends on Saturday at York and Ascot too on a bumper afternoon of horse racing. The ITV cameras are there showing six races across the two venues, that include the John Smith’s Cup (4:05) at York and the Summer Mile at Ascot (3:35). Andy Newton is on-hand with the key big-race trends and his best bets across both Ascot and York’s LIVE ITV races. 

Plus, grab a £30 FREE BET with our friends at 888Sport (bet £10, get £30) to use on the LIVE ITV Racing from Newmarket this Saturday.


**TOP TIPPING** Last Saturday, Andy Newton had 4 winners (from 7) with his ITV racing tips – Nathanael Green (6/1), Free Wind (11/4), Sinjaari (7/2) & Vadeni (11/4)


York and Ascot Horse Racing Best Bets
ITV Horse Racing Tips On Saturday 9th July 2022

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RELATED: York Races Today – Racecards, results, tips and latest betting
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York Horse Racing Trends and Tips | Saturday 9th July 2022

1.45 – John Smith’s Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV

10/10 – Aged between 3-6 years-old
10/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Won over at least 1m before
9/10 – Won between 2-4 times before
8/10 – Carried 9st 1lb or more in weight
8/10 – Finished 4th or better last time out
8/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
7/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Had run at the track before
3/10 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/10 – Winning favourites

SPORTSLENS BEST BETS: Isla Kai has claims, as does Eilean Dubh, but it’s interesting that the David O’Meara yard have won this race 3 times in the last 10 years and sends three to post – BLUE FOR YOU (e/w) @ 15/2 with 888Sport, Young Fire and TAMMANI (e/w) @ 14/1 with 888Sport.

All three command respect, but 4 and 5 year-olds have a better record in the race so their 7 year-old Young Fire is overlooked.

Blue For You was a close third at Sandown last time out and is the pick of the yard’s main jockey Danny Tudhope, while Adam Kirby rides Tammani, who didn’t get the best of runs at Donny last time, but before that was a nice winner at Redcar.

2.20 – John Smith’s Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

16/16 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
15/16 – Won from stall 10 or lower
14/16 – Aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Aged 4 years-old
7/16 – Had run at York before
7/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/16 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
4/16 – Winning favourites

SPORTSLENS BEST BETS: Just the three runners here but they’ve all got a squeak. John Leeper is not 8 races without a win and hasn’t quite progresses as many thought he would when 9th in the Epsom Derby last year.

He was also 1 3/4 lengths behind WITHOUT A FIGHT @ 10/11 with 888Sport last time here and it can be more of the same again, despite being 3lbs better off. The pick is the top-rated in the field too and barring a blip when 12th in Dubai three runs ago, he’s got a very consistent profile.

Thunderous makes up the trio and certainly can’t be ruled out being a course winner too. But is also now 8 races without a win, so not an easy horse to catch right.

4.05 – John Smith’s Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

18/20 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
17/20 – Aged 5 or younger
14/20 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
13/20 – Came from stall 9 or higher
13/20 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Carried 9-3 or less
11/20 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
11/20 – Aged 4 years-old
11/20 – Officially rated between 99-105
10/20 – Had run at York before
6/20 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/20 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
3/20 – Trained by William Haggas
2/20 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (2 of last 9)
2/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 3)
2/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Since 1960 just one winner older than 6
9 of the last 11 winners aged 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 12/1

SPORTSLENS BEST BETS: Super competitive as always, but there are some fair trends to help. 17 of the last 20 winners were aged 5 or younger, which is bad news for Caradoc, Intellogent and Cockalorum, who are all 7 year-olds.

The William Haggas yard has won 2 of the last 9 runnings so it’s no shock to see their Mahrajaan popular in the betting, but draw 5 might not be ideal.

The consistent Anmaat is another to note, but does have 9-8 to carry, but ROGUE BEAR (e/w) @ 7/1 with 888Sport, who was only just denied here at York last time out, ticks a lot of boxes with draw 14 a plus, his age (4) and a nice racing weight of 8-10. With 13 of the last 20 winners carriying 9-3 or less and coming from stall 9 or higher.

He’s only up 2lbs from that last run but connections have also freshened him up with 2 months off and this has looked the target since that last outing, when well-backed into favourite.

Of the rest, the Andrew Balding yard have won 2 of the last 3 runnings so their GOOD BIRTHDAY (e/w) @ 33/1 with 888Sport and ACHELOIS (e/w) @ 20/1 with 888Sport are the picks of those at bigger prices. Good Birthday is a consistent 6 year-old that has a nice draw in 23 and only has 8-11 to carry. Connections have also booked William Cox to ride to take off another 3lbs, while he’s finished in the top 3 in 45% of his 31 races (5 wins).

Achelois ran too bad to be true in a Listed race at Ayr last time so if you can forgive that run then based on his second at Epsom the time before can go well too. He’s also got the useful Harry Davies on to claim 5lbs and connections have also freshened him up with a few months off.

4.40 – John Smith’s City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV

11/11 – Won over 5f before
10/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Rated between 101 and 111
9/11 – Placed favourites
8/11 – Unplaced last time out
8/11 – Won at York before
7/11 – Had only won at Handicap class before
6/10 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/11 – Won by a neck or less
4/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
Winter Power won the race in 2021
Moss Gill won the race in 2020

SPORTSLENS BEST BETS: WINTER POWER @ 5/2 with 888Sport won this race 12 months ago and it should be more of the same this year. This Tim Easterby-trained filly is the top-rated in the field but also gets in here getting weight off most of the others (fillies’ allowance). She also landed the Nunthorpe here last August and is now 3-from-3 from her last three runs here at York.

Yes, she’s not fired since, but has been running in top races so back into a Listed rce here will be just the tonic.

Korker, Royal Acclaim and Caturra will be the ones to give Winter Power most to think about.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends and Tips | Saturday 9th July 2022

3.00 – Betfred Heritage Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV

Just 8 previous running
8/8 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
7/8 – Carried 8-10 or more
7/8 – Had won between 2-6 times
7/8 – Had won over 5f before
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
6/8 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
4/8 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/8 – Came from a double-figure stall
4/8 – Ran at Ascot last time out
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 9/1

SPORTSLENS BEST BETS:
Many chances here, including the hat-trick seeking Burning Cash, who is up another 4lbs, and the Hollie Doyle-ridden Tabdeed.

Corazon and the old-timers in the race Danzeno and Venturous are on fair marks, but the two I’m siding with are NOMADIC EMPIRE (e/w) @ 25/1 with 888Sport and LOVELY MANA (e/w) @ 9/1 with 888Sport.

The last-named has caught the eye in winning her last two at Newcastle and Sandown – the last was an easy 2 1/4 length win. She’s up 8lbs for that win but Saffie Osborne is booked to ride and can claim 3lbs of that back.

Nomadic Empire is the other selection and feel he can better his 9th in the race last year. He had every chance 12 months ago a furlong out until fading but is another year older now and Jim Crowley can freshen things up in the saddle.

3.35– Fred Cowley MBE Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV

14/14 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
12/14 – Had won over at least a mile before
12/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Had raced at Ascot before (2 won)
10/14 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
9/14 – Previous Group race winner
9/14 – Winning favourites (last 9 favs have won)
7/14 – Had won at least 4 times before
6/14 – Aged 4 years-old
6/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/14 – Had won a Group 1 before
10 of the last 12 winners were draw in stalls 5 or lower
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

SPORTSLENS BEST BETS: 12 of the last 14 winners had won over at least a mile so that’s not good for both Tactical and Mutasaabeq, who are yet to record a win over this far.

CHINDIT @ 7/4 with 888Sport is the top-rated in the field and hasn’t been disgraced in running behind Baaeed the last twice in better races. This Hannon runner will find this slightly easier and it doesn’t look the strongest Group Two contest.

My Oberon and Modern News were first and second last time in a Listed race at Windsor so can get involved too, but at a bigger price a chance is also taken on PEROTTO (e/w) @ 10/1 with 888Sport, who a close third in that same Windsor race last time but is a course winner here at Ascot and based on that last run seems to be hitting peak form this season.

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Ascot Race Times and Schedule: Saturday 9th July 2022

  • 1:50 – British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (EBF Restricted Race Qual) (GBB Race) Cl4 (2yo) 7f SKY
  • 2:25 – Hi-Speed Services Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 1m6f SKY
  • 3:00 – Betfred Heritage Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV
  • 3:35 – Fred Cowley MBE Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m ITV
  • 4:10 – Magnum Classic Ice Cream Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m4f SKY
  • 4:45 – Village Hotels Fillies’ Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m SKY
  • 5:20 – Ascot Sebastian’s Action Trust Christmas In July Handicap Cl4 (3yo+ 0-85) 7f SKY

York Race Times and Schedule: Saturday 9th July 2022

  • 1:45 – John Smith’s Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV
  • 2:20 – John Smith’s Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV
  • 2:55 – John Smith’s Stayers’ Handicap Cl4 (4yo+ 0-80) 2m½f RTV
  • 3:30 – John Smith’s Nursery Handicap Cl4 (2yo 0-85) 6f RTV
  • 4:05 – John Smith’s Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV
  • 4:40 – John Smith’s City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV
  • 5:15 – John Smith’s Sprint Handicap Cl4 (4yo+ 0-80) 6f RTV
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