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Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Thursday Picks – August 18th

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Andrew Mount's

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below…

It’s day two of York’s Ebor Festival (Thursday, August 18th) where Andrew has identified five stats-based selections, some at huge prices. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:

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YORK 1.50

GLEN LAUREL (system – Kevin Ryan, Lope De Vega)

Kevin Ryan must be a big fan of the sire Lope De Vega, having got multiple wins out of the likes of Mount Tahan, Flaming Spear, Ayutthaya, Weekender Offender and Roulston Scar over the years. Simply backing all his Lope De Vega runners would have found 23 winners from 125 bets (18.4% strike-rate) for a profit of £12.40. GLEN LAUREL contributed with a wide-margin debut success at Thirsk and can be forgiven her subsequent Ascot defeat as she did too much too soon and helped to set it up for the closers. This track should suit and she’s worth a small each-way interest at 25-1+.

 

YORK 2.25

SHOULDVEBEENARING (system – Havana Grey, 5f-6f, turf)

Progeny of first-season sire Havana Grey have a 30 from 155 record when racing in turf sprints (19.4%) and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £66.04 to a £1 level stake at SP. SHOULDVEBEENARING is one of three qualifiers in this valuable sales race (the others are Metahorse and Havana By The Sea) and his trainer, Richard Hannon, has won four of the last six renewals. His low draw will be an advantage on Wednesday’s evidence.

 

YORK 4.10

TIME LOCK (system – Frankel/Dubawi cross)

Progeny of Frankel who have Dubawi as their damsire have done extremely well, landing 40 of their 136 starts (29.4%) for a profit of £61.20 (expected winners only 28.26). TIME LOCK was hugely impressive at Newmarket in May and may not have been suited by the soft conditions when beaten at Haydock last time. She can bounce back to winning ways this afternoon.

 

YORK 4.45

SUNNY ORANGE (system – Ralph Beckett, first-time blinkers)

Since the beginning of 2016, trainer Ralph Beckett is 19 from 86 with his first-time blinkered runners and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £75.73. SUNNY ORANGE struggled on soft ground at Haydock last time and can bounce back in the headgear. He’s also been gelded since his last run.

 

YORK 5.20

TRUELY ACCLAIMED (system – turning tracks)

The consistent TRUELY ACCLAIMED has yet to win on a straight track, recording form figures of 022224 (0-6). However, when racing on turning tracks over 7f-7.5f her record stands at 153211 (3-5), including a big-field course and distance win earlier this season. She’s well drawn in stall 6 and an be supported each-way in this 7f fillies’ nursery.

Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets

Claim Offer
18+ BeGambleAware.org, T&Cs apply. New customers on mobile only. 7 days to claim and stake £10 minimum bet at odds of 1.5 or greater to qualify. Free, void, cashed out or partially cashed out bets do not qualify. Max 3x £10 free bets credited on bet settlement. Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with selection odds of 1.3 or greater. Free bets are non-withdrawable and stake not returned with winnings. 7 day expiry.

Other Horse Racing Tips
York Placepot Tips – Thursday 18th August
York Each-Way Betting Tip – Thursday 18th August

Andy Newton’s Lucky 15 York Horse Racing Tips – Thursday 18th August
Daily Horse Racing Betting Tips – Thursday 18th August
Andrew Mount’s Horse Racing Tips – Thursday 18th August

Andrew Mount’s SpreadEx Analysis – Thursday 18th August
Today’s Horse Racing NAP – Thursday 18th August
York Ebor Festival Tips and Trends – Thursday 18th August
2022 Yorkshire Oaks Trends: Big Stat Says Alpinista CAN’T Win
Stradivarius Puts Unbeaten York Record On The Line In Lonsdale Cup
York Racing Free Bets & Ebor Festival Betting Offers – Day Two
Kevin Blake’s York Tips – Thursday 18th August
£30 FREE YORK Ebor Festival Bet With 888Sport
£60 FREE YORK Ebor Festival Bet With BetUK
£50 FREE YORK Ebor Festival Bet With 10bet


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