Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook, the GG.co.uk website and a regular pundit on William Hill radio. Andrew uses stats and systems to unearth value betting opportunities and shares his thoughts for day two of the Cheltenham festival (and supporting cards) below…
Andrew found winners BRAZIL (10-1) and YOU SAY NOTHING (6-4) on Tuesday and has five selections for Wednesday, March 16th, day two of the Cheltenham festival. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
CHELTENHAM 1.30
STAGE STAR (system – Ballymore Hurdle, 6yos, won last time out, fresh)
Six-year-olds have a great recent record in the Ballymore and backing last-time out winners, who were now returning from a break of more than eight weeks, would have found six winners from 13 bets in the past ten years. Backing them all returned a profit of £20.57. Three of the beaten horses were placed and STAGE STAR looks a good each-way play against odds-on favourite Sir Gerhard.
CHELTENHAM 4.50
HASANKEY (system – Laura Morgan, chases, claiming jockey)
Laura Morgan has a great record with her chasers, especially when using a jockey who claims a weight allowance as Lewis Dobb does on HASANKEY in the Grand Annual. She’s 18 from 85 on this angle (21.2% strike-rate) for a huge profit of £102.45 to the usual £1 stake. Hasankey has won his last three starts and though only scoring narrowly from Destined To Shine at Wetherby last time, the form has been franked by the runner-up. He’s been winning on soft/heavy going but his trainer expects him to be suited by better ground. There are plenty that can be fancied in this race – I’ve also backed Thyme White and will save on last year’s winner Sky Pirate – but Hasankey could be over-priced at around 40-1.
KEMPTON 6.00
TRUE ACCOLADE (system – Charlie Appleby, 3yo gelded newcomers)
Since the beginning of 2017, Charlie Appleby has a 17 from 52 record with his gelded three-year-old newcomers (32.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £25.14 to a £1 level stake at SP. TRUE ACCOLADE looks a likely type on paper and can make a winning debut under William Buick
NEWCASTLE 6.45
HIGH BORN EAGLE (system – sire Free Eagle, 1m+, all-weather)
Progeny of the sire Free Eagle have a solid record over 1m or further on the all-weather, landing 37 of their 175 starts (21.1% strike-rate) for a profit of £55.11 to a £1 level stake at SP. Newcomer HIGH BORN EAGLE represents in-form Jedd O’Keeffe (three winners from eight runners in the past fortnight) and is worth chancing at double-figure odds on her debut.
KEMPTON 7.00
PROCLAIMER (system – sire Free Eagle, 1m+, all-weather)
PROCLAIMER is a qualifier on the same system as High Born Eagle (see 6.45 Newcastle preview) and is bidding to make it six wins from his last seven all-weather starts. He won gamely from the front over course and distance last time and can follow up.
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Related
- Check out current Champion Hurdle odds and betting for the Cheltenham Festival
- View the latest Queen Mother Champion Chase odds and market
- Which horses are up there in the Stayers Hurdle odds for Cheltenham?
- Find out what Cheltenham Gold Cup odds say about the blue riband event
- UK Horse Racing Results
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