Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook, the GG.co.uk website and a regular pundit on William Hill radio. Andrew uses stats and systems to great effect and shares his thoughts for Tuesday’s racing below.
Andrew has three recommended bets at Taunton (jumps) and Southwell (all-weather Flat) on Tuesday, two of them at huge prices. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
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TAUNTON 1.55
ROSE OHARA (system – damsire Midnight Legend, Feb-May, jumps)
Progeny of the sire Midnight Legend tend to perform best at this time of year and that can be extended to horses with Midnight Legend as their damsire. They have a 33 from 189 record from February to May over jumps for a profit of £37.78 to a £1 level stake at SP. ROSE OHARA ran with credit behind Lady Adara – the 2-7 favourite for today’s race – on her reappearance/hurdles debut at Uttoxeter in October, finishing a 24-length sixth at 40-1. Soft ground found her out at Fontwell next time, though the subsequent break and wind operation suggests she suffered from breathing difficulties that day. She’ll do well to reverse the form with Lady Adare but she can be backed each-way at around the 25-1 mark or supported in the ‘betting without the favourite’ market at around 6-1.
SOUTHWELL 5.00
GOSSIP (system – poorly drawn over 5f at Southwell last time out, same C&D today)
Low draws have been favoured in 5f races at this venue since the Fibresand was replaced with Tapeta, with horses drawn in stall 6 or above usually struggling. However, those who were drawn in stall 6 or higher have done well if returned to this course and distance for their next start, winning seven from 43 for a profit of £21.88. GOSSIP challenged down the near side from her high draw when last of 11 here on February 11th and it’s safe to forgive that effort. She’s not brilliantly drawn today (stall 8) but there’s another race in her judged on her 40-1 course and distance sixth of 14 (from a difficult draw in stall 11) in December, when third best of the centre group. I can see her breaking smartly in first-time blinkers and getting a good pitch down the middle and she’s worth chancing to small stakes at 40-1.
SOUTHWELL 6.00
ZARZYNI (system – field size)
ZARZYNI often finds trouble in big fields, recording form figures of 493977032022 (0-12) in fields of eight or more runners, compared to 1331 (2-4) in anything smaller. He faces just five rivals in this 5f handicap and should get a clear passage from the best of the draw in stall 1.
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