Leading racing advisor Andrew Mount takes a good look at Thursday’s Spreadex markets to find the best value spread betting and fixed odds opportunities.
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Andrew heads to the all-weather fixtures at Southwell and Chelmsford for three bets/trades on Thursday. Follow his tips on horse racing betting sites throughout the upcoming and hectic festive fixture list, and all year round. Here are today’s recommendations:
Horse Racing Betting Tips for Thursday Decenber 16th:
SOUTHWELL 3.40
LITTLE PRAYER has finished well beaten on turf in two starts since returning from wind surgery but she was huge prices (100-1 and 50-1), including in Group 3 company, and this nursery handicap looks more realistic. Her sole all-weather outing saw her finish a 20-1 second at Chelmsford back in the spring and progeny of Mehmas have a six from 25 record in all-weather nurseries (+£52.25) after finishing fifth or worse on turf last time out. Her spread is set at 7-9 with Spreadex in the 50-25-10 race market, which rates a buy, or fixed odds punters can back her each-way at 10-1.
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.Recommendation: Back LITTLE PRAYER on Southwell 3.40
CHELMSFORD 5.30
BYFORD’s sire Toronado is a good source of winners on Tapeta, especially at Wolverhampton, but they usually struggle on Chelmsford’s Polytrack, landing just four of their 91 starts for a loss of £49.50 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 10.84). Byford went close at Wolverhampton last time but is not sure to repeat that at this venue and can be opposed in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market.
Recommendation: Oppose BYFORD in Chelmsford 5.30
CHELMSFORD 7.05
MCCANN THE MAN has been well supported (5-1 from 6-1) for this 1m Class 5 handicap but I’m happy to oppose him from stall 9. His breeding is also a concern – progeny of sire Fountain of Youth have a very modest strike-rate on the all-weather, winning just eight of their 234 starts (3.4%) for a huge loss of £169.32 to a £1 level stake at SP (the expected number of winners was almost 16). At Chelmsford only, it’s 0-20 for the sire and he looks a sell in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market.
Recommendation: Oppose MCCANN THE MAN in Chelmsford 7.05
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