Professional horse racing tipster Andrew Mount takes a good look at today’s Spreadex markets to find the best value spread betting and fixed odds opportunities.
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It’s Oaks day at Epsom on Bank Holiday Friday (June 3rd) and Andrew has recommended bets/trades at the Surrey venue and at Doncaster. Follow his tips on horse racing betting sites throughout the year.
All week I’ve been thinking that the ground will be too soft for TOP SECRET but it’s dried out to good, good to soft in places, and a colleague of mine who walked the course on Thursday afternoon – William Hill radio’s Ken Pitterson – said it was just on the soft side of good and likely to ride good on race day.
Top Secret was a big eyecatcher at Newmarket last summer, going down by just a neck in second place under patient tactics when the track was massively favouring early speed. He should have won at Newbury next time where he ran second by a nose after challenging on the ‘dead’ rail but made amends with a fast-ground Ascot success a few weeks later.
Good to soft going was blamed for his subsequent defeat at the same venue, though he may just have been over the top after a busy campaign. He went desperately close at Newbury on his return to action, going down by a nose in a 1m handicap, and won’t be inconvenienced by the cut back in trip.
There’s a nagging doubt that all his wins have come on straight tracks but his yard does well here and I like the booking of Hollie Doyle. Buy in the Spreadex 50-30-20-10 market or back each-way at fixed odds.
Recommendation: Back TOP SECRET in Epsom 5.45
Patient tactics are often favoured at Doncaster, especially on the round course, and that’s prime JAMIE SPENCER territory. Since the beginning of 2014, he’s had 47 winners from 238 rides at this venue (19.8% strike-rate) for a profit of £53.73 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 36). Spencer has a cracking book of rides on Friday night, with BULLACE especially interesting in the 6.41 race.
He was too fresh and keen when only seventh on his comeback at Newmarket but should settle better tonight, as he’s likely to get a tow into the race from front-runner ISLA KAI. The early market suggests that his first mount – SILKS PASS in the 6.06 – is his best chance of riding a winner but I really like PRINCE OF BEL LIR in the 7.16.
Joseph Parr’s four-year-old is suited to racing alone and/or against a rail and from stall 2 of 11 Spencer should be able to execute such tactics, as he did perfectly over course and distance last time out. His other rides all have decent prospects of picking up points and it will be disappointing if he doesn’t cover the spread.
Recommendation: Buy JAMIE SPENCER in Doncaster Jockeys
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