Leading racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. He is also a former bookmaker, three-time Scoop6 winner and a regular pundit on William Hill radio. Andrew shares his latest stats and systems-based selections below.
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Andrew continued his good form with 6-1 Ffos Las winner FAIRLAWN FLYER on Wednesday and has three selections for Thursday January 6th. Follow his tips all year round on horse racing betting sites:
NEWCASTLE 3.40
CEPHALUS (system – badly drawn at Southwell last time out)
Since Southwell switched to Tapeta last month it’s been difficult to win from a low draw in handicap company on the round course (distances of 6f or further) in fields of eight or more runners. Stalls 1, 2, 3 and 4 have a combined record of five winners from 116 runners, with stalls 1, 2 and 3 just two from 87. These same low-drawn horses often run well at the next time of asking, winning seven of their 41 starts for a profit of £8.95. Ten of the beaten horses finished second or third, including 200-1 shot The Ormer Gatherer at Lingfield on Tuesday. CEPHALUS wasn’t best drawn and challenged closer to the inside rail when winning comfortably at Southwell last time and can follow up.
Back CEPHALUS at SBK
CHELMSFORD 6.00
ARLO’S SUNSHINE (system – badly drawn at Southwell last time out)
ARLO’S SUNSINE, like Cephalus (see above), wasn’t best drawn at Southwell last time, finishing third from stall 4 of 12 (once adjusted for non-runners). The return to this venue will suit and he can gain an overdue first success.
Bet on ARLO’S SUNSHINE at SBK
CHELMSFORD 7.30
THUNDEROAD (system – Tony Carroll, well drawn runners at Chelmsford)
Tony Carroll has only had 30 runners drawn in stall 1 at Chelmsford and eight of them won for a profit of £34.30 to a £1 level stake at SP. THUNDEROAD failed to settle from his poor wide draw when only seventh over course and distance last time but is better berthed tonight and should go well.
Back THUNDEROAD at SBK
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