Saudi Arabia have an excellent shot at qualifying for the World Cup Round of 16 for only the second time in its history, but they will be up against a Mexico side who’s only chance at escaping Group C requires all three points.
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Saudi Arabia vs Mexico Preview, Predictions and Tips
Top Three Saudi Arabia vs Mexico Tips
- Over 4.5 Bookings @ -116 with Lucky Block
- Under 2.5 Goals @ +101 with Lucky Block
- Saudi Arabia to Win @ +400 with Lucky Block
Saudi Arabia claimed perhaps the biggest upset in World Cup history in their opening game, mounting a staggering comeback and overturning a one goal deficit against pre-tournament betting favourites Argentina.
However, despite having the lion’s share of possession and clear cut chances in their second group stage game against Poland, they fell to a 2-0 defeat, leaving them with three points alongside Argentina who are only above them on goal difference.
Meanwhile, Mexico are yet to register a goal at this year’s World Cup, leaving them rock-bottom on one point having held Poland to a 0-0 stalemate in their opener – this is a must-win if they are become contenders for a knockout stage spot.
Saudi Arabia vs Mexico Tip 1: Over 4.5 Bookings @ -116 with Lucky Block
For our first tip, we are backing a fruitful evening for cards given the respective disciplinary records of both sides.
Saudi Arabia picked up an astonishing six yellow cards in their battle with Argentina, before adding a further two in their defeat to Poland.
Mexico are joint-third in terms of most cards having accumulated six so far, and we think this could be a shrewd selection in what will almost certainly be a high-octane, fiercely-contested match-up.
Saudi Arabia vs Mexico Tip 2: Under 2.5 Goals @ +101 with Lucky Block
As mentioned, Mexico are yet to register a goal at this year’s tournament, putting them behind the likes of hosts Qatar, Costa Rica and Canada on the goalscoring charts.
They are resolute in defence however, and although Saudi Arabia will look to be aggressive and score early on, their finishing has been poor given some of the clear chances they have created, particularly in the Poland game where they had an xG of 2.25.
Therefore, we are not expecting there to be more than two goals in this fixture, and the potential prize of a last 16 spot could be cause for a cagey affair.
Saudi Arabia vs Mexico Tip 3: Saudi Arabia to Win @ +400 with Lucky Block
Lastly, we couldn’t help but notice the fantastic price of +400 for Saudi Arabia to win.
Along with Brazil, Mexico are one of two teams to have qualified for the knockout stages in every World Cup since 1998, but they have been massively underwhelming and we are yet to see any threat to Saudi Arabia in terms of goalscoring.
Although they fell to defeat against Poland, Saudi Arabia will be enthused by the thought of a first knockout stage appearance since 1994 and their aggressive high-press could be enough to see them claim a famous win here.
Our Prediction: Saudi Arabia 1 – 0 Mexico @ +900 with Lucky Block
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