The horse racing NAP of the Day for SportsLens experts on Wednesday, 4 May, is Big Nasty. He goes up to Scotland for the 3m 4f handicap chase at Kelso (3:20) in the borders today. Martin Keighley’s runner looks well worth backing at odds against here.
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Just 1lb higher in the weights than his last winning horse racing mark at this level, Big Nasty has since run very well in defeat. Always shaping like this longer distance would suit, this nine-year-old son of Black Sam Bellamy can go one better than when last in action. Big Nasty thus rates our horse racing NAP today and this is why to back him…
Why will horse racing NAP of the Day Big Nasty win?
Keighley rarely sends runners up from his Gloucestershire yard to Kelso, but backing those blind on top betting sites would see punters in front. The stable has a 20 per cent strike rate at this venue, yielding £2 profit off a £1 level stake. Placed over an extended 3m 3f at Stratford off 125 last May, Big Nasty’s current rating of 121 looks very workable.
Following a summer break, he found only Zhiguli too good at Lingfield. The winner returned there later in the season and won a valuable handicap chase at the inaugural Winter Million meeting, beating subsequent Cheltenham Festival Kim Muir hero Chambard.
Drop in class for today’s horse racing NAP
The form of Big Nasty’s fourth place at Cheltenham on New Year’s Day has worked out well too. Smooth Stepper, home a neck in front of him that day in third, and Undersupervision have both won Class 2 contests since. Such recent efforts and race results bode well now that Big Nasty drops in grade.
Unlucky to lose a shoe when runner-up on an extended 3m 2f at the Cheltenham April Meeting last time out, Keighley again books Sean Bowen for the ride. He has an excellent 35 per cent strike rate at Kelso. Taking all that into account, Big Nasty just had to be our horse racing NAP with a £10 punt on him at 888Sport returning £22 if he wins. New customers also qualify for £40 in bonuses with details below.
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Related to Our Horse Racing NAP of the Day
With the Flat season now well underway, there are some big events to come over the summer including the Epsom Derby on the Platinum Jubilee weekend and Royal Ascot after that. Here’s the latest daily horse racing content from SportsLens:
- Look at the latest tips from Andrew Mount for today’s action
- There are also some Chester Lucky 15 tips as the May Festival gets underway
- Read all about buys and sells with Spreadex analysis for horse racing spread betting
- It’s Chester that features as the track for Placepot tips for betting on the Tote
- Read all of Paul Kelly’s horse racing tips today from courses up and down the land
Other Horse Racing Tips
Andrew Mount’s Horse Racing Tips
Today’s Placepot Tips
Today’s Horse Racing Tips
Today’s Each-way Horse Racing Tip
Today’s Lucky 15 Horse Racing Tips
Andrew Mount’s SpreadEx Analysis
Today’s Horse Racing NAP
Chester May Meeting – Day One Tips
Tom Segal (Pricewise) Chester Tips
Templegate (Sun newspaper) Chester Tips
Tony Calvin (Betfair) Chester Tips
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