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Liverpool face a trip to Norwich in a game where three points are a must, but I cannot be backing them at odds-on to do so and the draw makes much more appeal at 3.75 with Betfred and Boylesports.
The Reds have failed to win any of their opening five league games for the first time since the 1911-12 season, and although they arguably could have beaten both the Manchester clubs they are not clinical enough in front of goal and can’t seem to close out matches when in the driving seat.
The only reason I can see for anyone backing them at a miserly 1.8 to win this is the stats.
They have won five and lost none of their last six Premier League matches against Norwich and are unbeaten in their last four visits to Carrow Road – winning the last three in a row.
The Canaries have also won just one of their last 10 Premier League matches (W1 D4 L5), but since a 5-0 drubbing at Fulham on the first day of the season they have been hard to beat, with Newcastle just edging to a 1-0 win last Sunday to end a run of three draws.
That suggests that they are more than capable of sharing the spoils, and I think the draw is cracking value.
Also, given that both Norwich’s games this season on their own patch have ended in in low-scoring draws the even money (2) on offer with bet365 about under 2.5 looks a steal given that every other firm goes odds-on.
I fancy this to end 0-0 or 1-1 and those outcomes can be backed at 7 and 11 respectively with bet365.