bet365 Gold Cup Trends | Horse Racing Stats For 2022 Sandown Race

Bet365 Gold Cup
Bet365 Gold Cup

As the curtain comes down on another jumps season at Sandown this Saturday horse racing punters will be looking to end the campaign on a high by finding the winner of the bet365 Gold Cup. With that in mind, Andy Newton is on hand to take you through the best bet365 Gold Cup trends and stats – based on recent winners – use these to put past history on your side!

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Did You Know? The last winning bet365 Gold Cup favourite was in 2000 – 21 rewewals ago!


bet365 Gold Cup Trends for 2022 Sandown Race

Run over a distance of 3m5f, the bet365 Gold Cup Handicap Chase is another race this month for the stayers, while the older readers amongst us might still refer to this race as ‘The Whitbread Gold Cup’, who sponsored the contest from 1957 until 2001.

The race has has various backers since, but leading bookmaker bet365 are starting to build up a strong relationship with the contest now, having supported it since 2008, plus they also have a cracking £50 free bet for any new customers to use on Saturday’s big Sandown race.

Plus, being a competitive staying handicap chase – with a lot of back history – it’s another race with bundles of stats and trends to help narrow down the runners and hopefully point to the horses with the best chances.

bet365 Gold Cup Trends and Stats (past 18 runnings)

  • 17/18 – Had raced in the last 63 days
  • 16/18 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
  • 14/18 – Carried 11-0 or less
  • 14/18 – Had won over 3m or further before
  • 14/18 – Aged 9 or younger
  • 13/18  – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 11/18 – Officially rated 140 or higher
  • 11/18 – Came from the top 7 in the betting market
  • 10/18 – Had raced in the last 25 days
  • 10/18 – Finished 4th or worse last time out
  • 5/18 – Won with 10st in weight
  • 3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
  • 3/18 – Won last time out
  • 2/18 – Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
  • 2/18 – Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
  • 2/18 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
  • 2/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
  • 2/18 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
  • 2/18 – Trained by Alan King (last two winners)
  • 0/18 – Winning favourites
  • The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 14/1

Other Key Bet365 Gold Cup Facts

  • The last winning favourite was Beau in 2000
  • Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
  • 24 of the last 30 (80%) winners carried less than 11st
  • 8 year-olds have won 7 of the last 18 runnings (39%)
  • 14 of the last 18 (78%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
  • Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times

bet365 Gold Cup Stats and Trends In More Detail

Having A Recent Run – With a huge 17 of the last 18 winners having run within the last 63 days, this is a decent starting point. This trend can also be taken further with 10 of the last 18 winners having raced in the last 25 days. Only three of the last 18 winners won last time out – therefore, don’t focus too much on trying to look for horses that come here off a win. Finally, with 10 of the last 17 winners having finished fourth or worse last time out this is another trend have on your side.

Weight Carried – 16 of the last 18 winners carried 11st 5lbs or less in weight, with 14 of the last 18 having 11st or less on their backs. Since the 2007 running, we’ve only seen three winners that won with 11st or more – but do note that one of those was last year – Potterman (11st 9lbs). If we look back further, then 24 of the last 30 winners (80%) won with less than 11st, while 5 of the last 18 winners had only 10st. With all this in mind, even though it doesn’t always apply to these staying races, it’s clear here that those towards the bottom of the weights (lower handicap mark) have faired best.

Ages To Look For (and avoid) – The most recent winner in 2021 – Potterman – was an 8 year-old when he took the prize– with 39% of the last 18 winners being that age. Plus, last year’s winner further backed up the trend that’s seen 14 of the last 18 winners aged 9 or younger. Note though, we have seen three 11 year-olds – Monkerhostin (2008), Church Island (2010) and Tidal Bay (2012) – take the race in recent times. But, at the other end of the age range we’ve had just one 6 year-old winner (Bounce Back, 2002) since 1959.

Favourites and The Betting Market – Another monster stat in recent times has seen this race being a horrific for the favourites – the last winning market leader was in 2000 (Beau). Backed up again in 2021 with the jolly – Enrilo – finishing third. But, a small word of caution here as that horse – Enrilo – did actually win the race, but was later demoted to third after hanging in the closing stages and causing interference. Potterman, who returned 12/1 in the betting, was the official 2021 winner.

However, despite the poor favourites record recently, you don’t have to look too far away from the favourite to find the winner of this race. The 2019 winner – Talkischeap – was sent off the 7/1 joint second best in the betting, while 13 of the last 18 winners returned 14/1 or shorter – plus, 11 of those 13 winners hailed from the top seven in the market.

Distance Form – It’s no real shock that 14 of the last 18 winners of this staying handicap, which is run over 3m5f, have won previously over at least 3m, but it’s still something to note in case there are any horses trying the 3m+ distance for the first time.

Trainers To Respect – The Alan King stable have won the last two runnings of this race – albeit last year they needed the stewards to help. But anything they run still has to be respected. Other yards to have in your sights are Paul Nicholls, who has four successes to his name – the most recent being in 2015 – and don’t forget he had the first past the post 12 months ago (Enrilo) too until that one was placed third by the stewards. Nicky Henderson, Peter Bowen, Neil Mulholland and Philip Hobbs are other stables that have got their name on the winners’ hall of fame in recent years, so if having runners can’t be ruled out either.

Recent bet365 Gold Cup Chase Winners

  • 2021 – POTTERMAN (12/1)
  • 2020 – No Race
  • 2019 – TALKISCHEAP (7/1)
  • 2018 – STEP BACK (7/1)
  • 2017 – HELLAN HARRI (40/1)
  • 2016 – THE YOUNG MASTER (8/1)
  • 2015 – JUST A PAR (14/1)
  • 2014 – HADRIANS APPROACH (10/1)
  • 2013 – QUENTIN COLLONGES (14/1)
  • 2012 – TIDAL BAY (9/1)
  • 2011 – POKER DE SIVOLA (11/1)
  • 2010 – CHURCH ISLAND (20/1)
  • 2009 – HENNESSY (13/2)
  • 2008 – MONKERHOSTIN (25/1)
  • 2007 – HOT WELD (6/1)
  • 2006 – LACDOUDAL (10/1)
  • 2005 – JACK HIGH (16/1)
  • 2004 – PUNTAL (25/1)
  • 2003 – AD HOC (7/1)

Watch The 2021 bet365 Gold Cup Chase Again

Drama in the 2021 running of the bet365 Gold Cup as the Paul Nicholls-trained Enrilo wins the race but is placed third after running around in the closing stages – Potterman was awarded the race. Both Enrilo and Potterman are entered for the 2022 renewal.

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