Leading racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook, the GG.co.uk website and a regular pundit on William Hill radio. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below…
Andrew found 9-1 Newton Abbot scorer ROMANOR on Friday and bids to continue his good form with five selections on Friday, June 11th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
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CHESTER 2.10
GLORY FIGHTER (system – Paul Midgley/Kevin Stott, 5f handicaps)
Paul Midgley’s 5f handicappers have a good record when ridden by Kevin Stott – landing 22 of their 120 starts for a small profit (+£4.31). When returned to the track within a fortnight of their previous start they’re 12 from 43 (28%) for a profit of £41.83. GLORY FIGHTER has the best of the draw in stall 1 and is fairly priced at around 5-1.
SANDOWN 2.15
VIA SERENDIPITY (system – ‘OXO’ pattern)
VIA SERENDIPITY is 0-10 immediately following a win but often bounce back from a defeat to score. Aside from seasonal debuts, his record over 1m or further on the back of a loss stands at nine wins from 24 starts for a profit of £45.00. He was only fourth of five on this angle at Windsor last time but the small field was no help and he could never get involved off a steady gallop. Today’s larger line-up will help, even though it’s not packed with pacesetters, and he should go well.
BATH 2.25
SPANGLED MAC (system – George Boughey, last-time out winners, recent run)
George Boughey has a great record when bringing a winner back to the track withing three weeks, scoring with 35 of the 101 qualifiers for a profit of £35.15. In non-handicaps, the figures are 12 from 28 (43%) for a profit of £47.28. Cachet was a qualifier on this angle when landing the 1000 Guineas at 16-1 and SPANGLED MAC, a good winner of a maiden here on May 24th, can add to recent gains.
BATH 3.36
BRYNTEG (system – sire Ardad, fresh)
Previously, I’ve discussed the good record of Ardad progeny on their juvenile debuts and they also do well after a break of at least eight weeks, regardless of age. Ten of the 56 qualifiers won for a profit of £18.25 to the usual £1 stake. BRYNTEG’s trainer Jamie Osborne is hardly firing on all cylinders at the moment but the three-year-old, second at 9-1 on his first run last term, looks worth a small interest at a big price on his reappearance. He’s been gelded over the winter and might improve now handicapping for the first time.
BATH 4.11
WISPER (system – Marcus Tregoning, last-time out winners, recent run)
Marcus Tregoning runs his horses sparingly compared to most trainers and it’s always worth noting when he brings a last-time out winner back to the track relatively quickly (1-28 days). He’s won with 95 of the 353 qualifiers (27% strike-rate) for a profit of £97.15 to a £1 level stake at SP. WISPER, a winner at Brighton on his stable debut 12 days ago, is worth a small bet to follow up.
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Related
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